Michigan State vs Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for January 7 (Spartan Defense on Display in East Lansing)

Duel Staff
Michigan State vs Michigan prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game.
Michigan State vs Michigan prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game. / AP Photos/Darron Cummings
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Michigan State vs Michigan Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Basketball Regular Season Game
  • Michigan State (10-4, 2-1 Big Ten) vs. Michigan (9-5, 3-0 Big Ten)
  • Date: Saturday, January 7, 2023
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Jack Breslin Students Events Center -- East Lansing, Michigan

A huge Big Ten matchup is slated for Saturday, Jan. 7, pitting the Michigan State Spartans against the Michigan Wolverines at Jack Breslin Students Events Center.

Michigan State has had no issues handling its business in recent weeks, winning for the fifth straight game with a 74-56 victory over Nebraska on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Michigan won for the second time in Wednesday's 79-69 win against Penn State, highlighted by Hunter Dickinson's team-high 17 points.

Can Michigan State extend its winning ways to six games? Or will Michigan find a way to thwart its Big Ten rival?

Michigan State vs Michigan Odds & Spread

Michigan State enters this contest as the clear favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 2:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 138.5 points, which is about average compared to Saturday's other totals.

Michigan State vs Michigan Betting Trends

  • Michigan State is 7-7-0 against the spread this year.
  • Against the spread as 3.5-point favorites or more, the Spartans are 3-5.
  • This year, seven of Michigan State's 14 games have gone over the point total.
  • Michigan is 8-6-0 against the spread this year.
  • The Wolverines are unbeaten ATS (3-0) as a 3.5-point underdog or greater this season.
  • This season, eight of Michigan's 14 games have hit the over.
Michigan State Rank Michigan State AVG Michigan AVG Michigan Rank
192nd 71.2 Points Scored 76.5 96th
99th 65.8 Points Allowed 69.4 204th
108th 34.1 Rebounds 34.7 84th
256th 7.9 Off. Rebounds 7.9 256th
183rd 7.5 3pt Made 7.7 164th
22nd 16.9 Assists 12.9 224th
31st 10.5 Turnovers 9.1 3rd

Michigan State vs Michigan Prediction & Pick

Michigan State's defense has played a big role in its success this season, allowing just 65.8 PPG (T-No. 79) on 40.1% shooting (No. 40). Having said that, the Spartans' defense has been even better than that lately, holding opponents to a minuscule 57.2 PPG clip during their five-game winning streak.

While Michigan's offense is solid (76.5 PPG, T-No. 51), the Wolverines have been held to under 70 points in six of their last eight games against the Spartans. On top of that, Michigan State boasts a plus-11.9 scoring margin at home, whereas Michigan is just plus-3.0 on the road.

With Michigan also losing six of its last seven trips to Jack Breslin Students Events Center, Michigan State has proven that another victory isn't out of the question this afternoon.

Final Score Prediction: Michigan State: 75 | Michigan: 69

Michigan State vs Michigan Best Bet

As far as the best bet goes, I'm backing Michigan State at -4.5 on the spread. After all, the Spartans have covered the spread in six of their last nine games against the Wolverines. Furthermore, Michigan State is also 6-1 ATS in its last seven Big Ten clashes and has beaten Michigan by at least five points in 11 of the last 17 head-to-head matchups in this rivalry.

This should be a competitive affair, but Michigan State is good enough to cover the spread here.

Bet: Michigan State -4.5 (-102)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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