Mavericks vs. Suns Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 5 (Star-Studded Teams Meet in Low-Scoring Contest)

Larry Rupp
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / AP Photos/Tony Gutierrez

Mavericks vs. Suns Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023
  • Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center -- Dallas, Texas
  • Coverage: ABC

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Sunday with 10 more games, including a battle between the Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks. The Suns rank fourth in the Western Conference with a 35-29 record, while the Mavericks check in sixth with a 33-31 record. This should be an intense matchup.

Phoenix enters as a victor in five of its last seven games following a 125-104 win against the Chicago Bulls on Friday. Meanwhile, Dallas has lost five of its last seven games, but did defeat the Philadelphia 76ers by a score of 133-126 on Thursday.

Which Western Conference contender will win on Sunday? Let's take a closer look.

Mavericks vs. Suns Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: DAL: (-108) | PHO: (-108)
  • Spread: DAL: -1 (-108) | PHO: +1 (-112)
  • Total: 233 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Mavericks enter this contest as slight home favorites on the spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds, although both teams are even on the moneyline, making this game a virtual toss-up. This 1 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 233 points, which is above average compared to Sunday's projected totals.

Mavericks vs Suns Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Mavericks -1 - - 231.5 -110 -110 -116 -104

Mavericks vs. Suns Betting Trends

  • The Mavericks have gone 23-38-2 against the spread this season.
  • The Suns are 12-10-1 ATS when underdogs by 1 point or more this year.
  • Games involving the Mavericks have hit the over 35 times this season.
  • Suns games this year have hit the over 29 times in 63 opportunities (46%).
  • Dallas owns a worse record against the spread in home games (11-19-2) than it does in away games (12-19-0).
  • Phoenix has performed better against the spread at home (17-14-0) than on the road (17-14-1) this year.

Mavericks vs. Suns Prediction & Pick

The Mavericks took down the 76ers thanks to a standout performance from their star duo. Luka Doncic dropped 42 points and Kyrie Irving logged 40 points, but repeating that outing against the Suns is going to be no easy task. Phoenix boasts the sixth-best defensive efficiency mark in the NBA.

The Suns have also allowed a three-point shooting percentage of 28.7% over its last three games (No. 4 in NBA). Look for Phoenix to keep Doncic and Irving quiet from long range in order to force role players like Reggie Bullock or Dwight Powell to score instead. That will earn the team a road win.

Dallas has lost six of its last seven games played on a Sunday, so fade the Mavericks in this one.

Final Score Prediction: Mavericks: 112 | Suns: 115

Mavericks vs. Suns Best Bet

It's a bit surprising to see this game listed with one of the highest point totals on Sunday's NBA slate. The Mavericks play at the second-slowest pace in the league and are guided by stars who love to play isolation basketball. On the other side, Phoenix plays at the ninth-slowest pace in the league.

The total has hit the under in four of the Suns' last five away games as well as in six of its last eight games against the Mavericks. The under has also cashed in five of the last six meetings between these teams at American Airlines Center. Trust the trends and back a low-scoring contest in Dallas.

Bet: Under 233 Total Points (-110)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.