Mavericks vs. Heat Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for January 20 (Miami Stays Hot at American Airlines Center)

Larry Rupp
Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / AP Photos/Wilfredo Lee
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Mavericks vs. Heat Game Info

  • Date: Friday, January 20, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: American Airlines Center -- Dallas, Texas
  • Coverage: ESPN, BSSW, and BSSUN

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Friday with nine more games, including a battle between the Miami Heat and Dallas Mavericks. The Heat rank sixth in the Eastern Conference with a 25-21 record, while the Mavericks check in fifth in the Western Conference with a 24-22 record. This one could go either way.

Miami enters as a victor in four of its last five games following a 124-98 win over the New Orleans Pelicans on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Dallas has dropped five of its last games after falling short in a 130-122 loss to the Atlanta Hawks on Wednesday. Which playoff hopeful will win on Friday night?

Mavericks vs. Heat Odds & Spread

All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.

Mavericks vs Heat Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Mavericks -0.5 - - 218 -110 -110 -108 -108
  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: DAL: (-102) | MIA: (-116)
  • Spread: DAL: +1 (-110) | MIA: -1 (-110)
  • Total: 218.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Heat enter this contest as slight road favorites on moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 218.5 points, which ranks as the lowest of Friday's projected totals.

Mavericks vs. Heat Betting Trends

  • The Mavericks covered 46 times in 82 games with a spread last season.
  • The Heat went 17-6 as underdogs of 0.5 points or greater last year.
  • Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 31 times in Mavericks games.
  • There were 46 Heat games (out of 82) that hit the over last season.

Mavericks vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

Both of these teams are starting to get healthy. Kyle Lowry returned for Miami on Wednesday and notched 7 points, 8 rebounds and 4 asissts. On the other side, role players Dorian Finney-Smith and Josh Green were back on the court for Dallas. The two combined for 18 points and 10 rebounds.

Dallas is still reeling, though, and that is because it ranks 25th in defensive efficiency. The Mavericks are allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 48.1% (No. 25 in NBA) on the year and rank 24th in points allowed in the paint over their last 10 games. Expect Bam Adebayo to go to work in this one.

Miami is also 15-5 straight up in its last 20 games against Dallas, so rock with the Heat on Friday.

Final Score Prediction: Mavericks: 106 | Heat: 112

Mavericks vs. Heat Best Bet

Dallas is 16-7 straight up at home this season, yet enter Friday night as a small underdog. It only goes to show how much of a slump the Mavericks are in. Dallas is just 1-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last six games overall and 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games against Miami at American Airlines Center.

The Heat have won nine of those 11 games outright as well. Miami is 8-3 straight up in its last 11 away games and allows only 108.7 points per game on the road (No. 2 in NBA). Adebayo has a chance to dominate in the paint, while Jimmy Butler can knock down mid-range shots. Back the Heat tonight.

Bet: Miami Heat ML (-116)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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