Mavericks vs Heat Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for April 1 (Doncic & Co. Get Back on Track in Low-Scoring Showdown)

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / (AP Photo/LM Otero)

The Dallas Mavericks (37-40) and Miami Heat (40-37) attempt to break out of their respective funks when they collide in NBA action on Saturday, April 1.

Mavericks vs Heat Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Miami-Dade Arena -- Miami, Florida
  • Coverage: NBA TV

The Mavericks head into tonight's contest following a disappointing 116-108 loss to the Philadelphia 76ers on Wednesday. Meanwhile, the Heat were handed their third consecutive defeat in the form of a 101-92 loss to the New York Knicks.

Can the Mavericks get the job done in Miami? Or do the Heat have what it takes to stop their skid from worsening?

Mavericks vs Heat Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: DAL: (-104) | MIA: (-112)
  • Spread: DAL: +1 (-112) | MIA: -1 (-108)
  • Total: 225 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Heat enter this contest as slim home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 225 points with -110 odds on both sides.

Mavericks vs Heat Betting Trends

  • Dallas is 1-5 straight up in its last six games.
  • Miami is 8-3 straight up in its last 11 home games against Dallas.
  • Dallas is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games against Miami.
  • Miami is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games.
  • The total has hit the under in each of Dallas' last five road games.
  • The total has hit the under in each of Miami's last six games played in April.

Mavericks vs Heat Prediction & Pick

The Heat's offense has completely stalled during its skid. They're averaging just 94.7 points on 43.9% shooting over the last three games, finishing with exactly 92 points in each of their last two outings. Now they must face the Mavericks, who already held them to 90 points in a loss back in January.

It doesn't help that the Heat could be missing key players as Kyle Lowry (knee) and Bam Adebayo (hip) are both questionable for tonight. The Mavericks' lineup is much healthier, especially with Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving leading the charge. Doncic is averaging 31.1 PTS/8.1 AST/8.0 REB in his last 14 games while Irving is tallying 27.1 PPG on .503/.400/.927 shooting splits in his last 10.

Even though I don't expect a high-scoring affair, it's clear that the Heat are too banged-up to keep pace with the Mavericks. It won't be pretty, but Dallas will get the job done in South Beach.

Final Score Prediction: Mavericks: 105 | Heat: 97

Mavericks vs Heat Best Bet

The Heat's offensive production has cratered while the Mavericks have been held to 109 or fewer points in four of their last six games, I'm not expecting many points tonight. It also helps that the under is 6-1 in Dallas' last seven games, as well as 5-0 in Miami's last five in April.

Additionally, 15 of the last 19 Mavericks-Heat matchups have finished with fewer than 225 points. With the state that both sides are in at the moment, it's clear that the under is the right pick.

Bet: Under 225 Points (-110)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.