Matt Brown vs Court McGee Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC on ABC 4 (Brown Can't Keep Up Inside the Octagon)

Brown vs McGee Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC on ABC 4 — Preliminary Card Welterweight Bout
Matt Brown (23-19-0, 16 KOs) vs. Court McGee (21-11-0, 3 KOs)
Date: Saturday, May 13, 2023
Fight Time: This will be on the preliminary card, which begins at 11:30 a.m. ET.
Venue: Spectrum Center — Charlotte, North Carolina
Coverage: ABC, ESPN+

Brown vs McGee Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC on ABC 4 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
- Matt Brown: (+180)
- Court McGee: (-225)

Method of Victory:
- Brown by KO/TKO: (+400)
- Brown by Points: (+600)
- Brown by Submission: (+1200)
- McGee by KO/TKO: (+650)
- McGee by Points: (+100)
- McGee by Submission: (+700)

Brown vs McGee Prediction

Two desperate UFC fighters meet head-to-head on the preliminary card on Saturday afternoon. Matt Brown has lost six of his last nine fights and was last seen in a split decision loss to Bryan Barberena back in March of 2022. The 42-year-old will attempt to get back on track against a veteran in McGee.

McGee enters having also lost six of his last nine UFC fights. He was last seen inside the octagon last June when he suffered a KO/TKO loss at the hands of Jeremiah Wells. He had won back-to-back fights prior to that loss, though, which is a feat that Brown hasn't accomplished in over three years.

Someone is going to have their hand raised at the end of this fight, and I expect it to be McGee. He outshines Brown in both significant strikes landed per minute (4.68 vs 3.77) and average takedowns landed per 15 minutes (1.86 vs 1.71). That gives McGee an advantage when upright or on the ground.

Winner: Court McGee (-225)

Brown vs McGee Best Bet

Backing McGee at -225 moneyline odds is far too much of a risk to take here, but backing him to log a decision win at +100 odds has value. After all, each of McGee's last eight UFC victories has come via decision.

On the other side, each of Brown's last two UFC losses has come via decision. Look for McGee to shake off the rust in the first round before taking over with consistent strikes against his opponent.

Bet: Court McGee by Points (+100)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

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