MLB - Odds & Predictions

Mariners vs Astros Prediction, Odds, Betting Trends & Probable Pitchers for ALDS Game 1 MLB Playoffs

Larry Rupp
Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros prediction, odds, betting trends and probable pitchers for ALDS Game 1 in MLB Playoffs.
Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros prediction, odds, betting trends and probable pitchers for ALDS Game 1 in MLB Playoffs. / AP Photos/Tommy Gilligan
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Mariners vs Astros Game 1 Info

2022 MLB Playoffs — ALDS Game 1
No. 5 Seattle Mariners (90-72, 44-37 Away) vs. No. 1 Houston Astros (106-56, 55-26 Home)
Date: Tuesday, October 11, 2022
Time: 3:37 p.m. ET
Venue: Minute Maid Park — Houston, TX
Coverage: TBS

The ALDS round of the 2022 MLB Playoffs features a pair of exciting matchups, including a divisional showdown between the 5-seed Seattle Mariners and 1-seed Houston Astros. The Mariners took advantage of their first postseason berth in over two decades by sweeping the Toronto Blue Jays in the Wild Card round.

Meanwhile, the Astros' attempt to appear in a ridiculous sixth straight ALCS starts on Tuesday afternoon. Houston won 106 games during the regular season, which clinched the franchise's fifth AL West title in the last six years. This has been one of the most balanced teams in all of baseball during the 2022 season.

Mariners vs Astros Odds & Spread

All MLB Postseason betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: SEA: (+176) | HOU: (-210)
Spread: SEA: +1.5 (-128) | HOU: -1.5 (+106)
Total: 6.5 — Over: (-128) | Under: (+104)

The Astros enter this contest as a clear home favorite on the moneyline and spread. They are listed at -210 moneyline odds with +106 odds to cover the 1.5-run spread. The over/under on this matchup features a low 6.5 runs, notably because of the strength of the starting pitchers for each side.

Mariners vs Astros Prediction & Pick

The Mariners are a perfect example of how anything can happen once the MLB Playoffs begin. This is a team that snuck into the postseason and then destroyed the Blue Jays in their home stadium. That momentum likely comes to a screeching halt on Tuesday, though. The Astros are sending an AL Cy Young candidate in Justin Verlander to the mound and that gives them an obvious advantage.

Verlander has been unstoppable this season, posting an AL-best 1.75 ERA and 0.83 WHIP. The savvy veteran also logged a 5-1 record, 2.34 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 6 starts against the Mariners. His dominance on the mound combined with the playoff experience of this lineup (Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, etc.) makes it tough to believe in Seattle's chances of pulling off an upset on the road.

Final Score Prediction: Mariners: 1 | Astros: 4

Mariners vs Astros Probable Starting Pitchers

The Seattle Mariners will look to Logan Gilbert (13-6, 3.20 ERA) in Game 1 and the Houston Astros hand the ball to Justin Verlander (18-4, 1.75 ERA).

Mariners vs Astros Betting Trends

- Seattle is 1-6 straight up in its last six games agains Houston.
- The total has hit the over in four of Seattle's last six away games.
- Houston is 9-4 straight up in its last 13 home games.
- The total has hit the under in four of Houston's last five games.

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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