Maple Leafs vs Lightning Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NHL Playoffs Game 3 (Expect Shootout at Amalie Arena)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds and betting insights for NHL playoffs Game 3.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Tampa Bay Lightning prediction, odds and betting insights for NHL playoffs Game 3. / Nathan Denette/The Canadian Press via AP

The 2022-23 NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs continue on Saturday, April 22, including Game 3 of the Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Tampa Bay Lightning series.

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Game 3 Info

  • Series: Series tied 1-1
  • Date: Saturday, April 22, 2023
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Amalie Arena -- Tampa Bay, FL
  • Coverage: TBS

After being embarrassed in Game 1, the Maple Leafs exacted revenge on Thursday in the form of a 7-2 blowout win over the Lightning. John Tavares led the way with a hat trick while defenseman Morgan Rielly added 4 assists as Tampa Bay had no answer for Toronto's offensive outburst.

Can the Maple Leafs ride their momentum to another victory? Or will the Lightning reverse their fortunes?

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Odds & Spread

  • All NHL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: TOR: (-113) | TBL: (-106)
  • Spread: TOR: -1.5 (+202) | TBL: +1.5 (-250)
  • Total: 6.5 -- Over: (-106) | Under: (-114)

The Maple Leafs enter this contest as road favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 6.5 goals with the Under being favored at -114 odds.

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Maple Leafs vs Lightning Betting Trends

  • Toronto is 5-1 straight up in its last six games.
  • Tampa Bay is 2-5 straight up in its last seven games against the Atlantic Division.
  • The total has hit the over in each of Toronto's last five road games against Tampa Bay.
  • The total has hit the over in six of Tampa Bay's last seven games.

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Prediction & Pick

Momentum is fully on the Maple Leafs' side following Thursday's blowout. Although the Lightning are more than capable of bouncing back, it's important to remember that they have lost five of their last seven games, allowing an average of six goals in the losses.

Toronto's top players are also rolling, giving them a chance to win on any given night. Tavares, Mitchell Marner and William Nylander all have multiple goals this series and Auston Matthews has 4 assists. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay is still waiting for the likes of Steven Stamkos, Brandon Hagel and Alex Killorn to score in this series.

In what should be a closer meeting than Game 2, I'm going with another Maple Leafs victory.

Final Score Prediction: Maple Leafs: 5 | Lightning: 4

Maple Leafs vs Lightning Best Bet

The Maple Leafs and Lightning have averaged 9.5 total goals through the first two games, making it hard to bet against the over for Saturday. It helps that Toronto has hit the over in four of its last six games while Tampa Bay has done so in six of its previous seven.

Each of the last five Maple Leafs-Lightning showdowns at Amalie Arena has gone over 6.5 goals, averaging 7.6 over that span. With how relatively easy its been for each side to score thus far, banking on more offense than projected is the right call.

Bet: Over 6.5 Goals (-106)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.