Manuel Torres vs Trey Ogden Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC on ESPN 43 (Ogden Overwhelmed by Torres' Attack)

Manuel Torres vs. Trey Ogden betting preview for UFC on ESPN 43, including predictions, odds and best bets.
Manuel Torres vs. Trey Ogden betting preview for UFC on ESPN 43, including predictions, odds and best bets. / AP Photo/Frank Franklin II

Torres vs Ogden Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC on ESPN 43 — Preliminary Card Lightweight Bout
Manuel Torres (13-2, 6 KOs) vs. Trey Ogden (16-5, 0 KOs)
Date: Saturday, March 25, 2023
Fight Time: This will be on the preliminary card, which begins at 4 p.m. ET.
Venue: AT&T Center — San Antonio, Texas
Coverage: ESPN+, ESPN

Torres vs Ogden Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC on ESPN 43 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Manuel Torres: (-164)
- Trey Ogden: (+134)

Method of Victory:
- Torres by KO/TKO: (+250)
- Torres by Points: (+500)
- Torres by Submission: (+350)
- Ogden by KO/TKO: (+1000)
- Ogden by Points: (+430)
- Ogden by Submission: (+390)

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Torres vs Ogden Prediction

This is a "prove yourself" matchup between two fighters who know how to finish the competition. Twelve of Manuel Torres' 13 career victories have come by a finish. He's currently on a four-fight winning streak, most recently notching a first-round TKO victory over Frank Camacho at UFC on ESPN 36.

And while Trey Ogden has never KO'd an opponent, all but five of his 16 career wins have come by submission. Having said that, Ogden didn't submit either of his first two UFC opponents. He lost by split decision to Jordan Leavitt in his debut but bounced back with a unanimous decision victory against Daniel Zellhuber in September.

With Ogden struggling to finish his opponents lately, I see Torres winning this one. "El Loco" averages nearly seven more significant strikes per minute (10.5) than Ogden does (3.73) with much better accuracy (55% vs. 43%). Torres is also six years younger, meaning he has youth on his side.

With a four-fight winning streak also giving him momentum, look for Torres to finish Ogden this weekend.

Winner: Manuel Torres

Torres vs Ogden Best Bet

It's not ideal, but Torres at -164 moneyline odds is certainly playable. However, I also recommend backing Torres to win by KO/TKO at +250. He throws out nearly three times as many strikes as Ogden, which will likely overwhelm the latter as the fight goes on. Eventually, Torres will land that one shot he needs to send Ogden crashing to the mat.

Bet: Manuel Torres ML (-164) or Manuel Torres by Submission (+250)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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