NCAAB

Louisville vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Nov. 21 (Razorbacks Continue Hot Start at Maui Invitational)

Devon Platana
Louisville vs. Arkansas prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game.
Louisville vs. Arkansas prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game. / AP Photo/Michael Woods
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Louisville vs Arkansas Game Info

2022-23 NCAA College Basketball Regular Season Game
Louisville Cardinals (0-3) vs. No. 9 Arkansas Razorbacks (3-0)
Date: Monday, Nov. 21, 2022
Time: 5 p.m. ET
Venue: Lahaina Civic Center — Maui, HI
Coverage: ESPN2

The 2022-23 NCAA college basketball season continues on Monday, Nov. 21 with another slate of games, including a Maui Jim Maui Invitational matchup between the Louisville Cardinals and No. 9 Arkansas Razorbacks.

Louisville has had an unfortunate start to the season, dropping to 0-3 following a close-fought 61-60 loss to Appalachian State last Tuesday. Meanwhile, Arkansas' campaign has trended in the opposite direction as the Razorbacks are now 4-0 following their 71-56 one-sided victory against South Dakota State on Nov. 16.

Can Louisville overcome its ranked opponent for the program's first victory of the season? Or will Arkansas' perfect campaign continue with another dominant showing?

Louisville vs Arkansas Odds & Spread

All NCAA college basketball betting lines, odds and prop bets.
Moneyline: LOU: (+980) | ARK: (-2000)
Spread: LOU: +15.5 (-110) | ARK: -15.5 (-1100)
Total: 140.5 —Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Arkansas enters this contest as the heavy favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 5 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 140.5 points, which is one of Monday's lower projected totals.

Louisville vs Arkansas Prediction & Pick

Even though Louisville has only lost each of its first three games by one point, the team hasn't looked impressive. The Cardinals are only averaging 66.0 PPG (T-No. 243) with a 44.6% field-goal percentage (No. 131) while committing a putrid 16.7 turnovers per game (No. 320).

Considering how Arkansas forces opponents to cough up the bottle 21.3 times per game (sixth-most), Eric Musselman's team will take advantage of any mistakes Louisville makes. The Razorbacks are also 11-0 straight up in their last 11 home games on a Monday, whereas the Cardinals have lost eight of their last nine games overall.

With both teams clearly trending in opposite directions, I can't help but back the hotter and superior squad here. Back Arkansas to be victorious at the Maui Jim Maui Invitational.

Final Score Prediction: Arkansas 73 | Louisville: 60

Louisville vs Arkansas Betting Trends

- Louisville is 1-6 against the spread (ATS) in its last seven games against the SEC.
- Arkansas is 6-1 straight up in its last seven games.
- The total has hit the under in eight of Louisville's last 12 games.
- The total has hit the under in each of Arkansas' last five games against the ACC.

Louisville vs Arkansas Best Bet

This evening's projected total is only 140.5 points and it isn't hard to see why. It's a total that Arkansas has yet to surpass this season while Louisville has only gone over it once in three games. Keeping that in mind, I'm backing the under on this total, especially after the total has gone under in eight of the Cardinals' last 12 games, as well as in each of the Razorbacks' last six overall.

Bet: Under 140.5 Points (-110)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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