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Lions vs Giants Prediction, Odds & Best Bets for Week 11 (Touchdowns Hard to Come by at MetLife Stadium)

Larry Rupp
Detroit Lions vs New York Giants prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 11 game.
Detroit Lions vs New York Giants prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 11 game. / AP Photos/John Minchillo
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Lions vs Giants Week 11 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season — Week 11
Detroit Lions (3-6, 1-3 Away) vs. New York Giants (7-2, 4-1 Home)
Date: Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium — East Rutherford, NJ
Coverage: FOX

The Detroit Lions will look to play spoiler on Sunday when they visit the New York Giants in Week 11 NFL action. Detroit is coming off a thrilling 31-30 win over the Chicago Bears in Week 10. Running back Jamaal Williams logged his ninth touchdown of the season and Julian Okwara tallied 2.0 sacks.

Meanwhile, the Giants took care of business in a 24-16 win over the Houston Texans their last time out. It was yet another big day for running back Saquon Barkley as he rushed for 152 yards and 1 touchdown on 35 carries. Cornerback Jason Pinnock paved the way on defense with 1.5 sacks.

Lions vs Giants Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: DET: (+142) | NYG: (-168)
Spread: DET: +3 (-104) | NYG: -3 (-118)
Total: 44.5 — Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

The Giants enter this contest as a small home favorite on the moneyline and the spread. This 1 p.m. ET clash also features one of the higher totals on the Week 11 slate at 45.5 points.

Lions vs Giants Prediction & Pick

These teams are very similar when it comes to their offensive approaches. Both the Giants and Lions have posted a top-12 rushing play percentage and average 4.8 yards per carry. Success via the run is not going to be hard to establish, so this one is going to come down to capitalizing on opportunities.

Detroit has scored a touchdown on 69.7% on their red zone possessions, which ranks as the fifth-best mark in the NFL. On the other side, New York ranks 20th with a red zone scoring percentage of just 53.9%. Head coach Dan Campbell's squad pulls this one out in the end with a late touchdown.

Final Score Prediction: Lions: 21 | Giants: 20

Lions vs Giants Betting Trends

- Detroit is 1-7 straight up in its last eight away games.
- The total has hit the over in eight of Detroit's last 11 games.
- The Giants are 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games.
- The total has hit the under in nine of the Giants' last 10 home games.

Lions vs Giants Best Bet

When two run-heavy offenses face off, it's always a safe bet to back the under. That's especially the case when the game is being played at MetLife Stadium. The total has hit the under in 15 of the Giants' last 17 home games. No New York home game has seen more than 44 points scored in 2022.

It's not hard to figure out why that trend has found its way to the forefront this season. The Giants are a team that prides themselves on time of possession and a lack of turnovers. It leads to a ton of lengthy drives for both teams involved in the game. Back more of the same to happen in Week 11.

Bet: Under 45.5 Points (-105)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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