Liberty vs Toledo Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Boca Raton Bowl 2022 (Rockets Extinguish Flames at FAU Stadium)

Devon Platana
Liberty vs Toledo prediction, odds and betting trends for NCAA college football Boca Raton Bowl.
Liberty vs Toledo prediction, odds and betting trends for NCAA college football Boca Raton Bowl. / AP Photo/Denis Poroy
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Liberty vs Toledo Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game — RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl
Liberty Flames (8-4) vs. Toledo Rockets (8-5)
Date: Tuesday, Dec. 20, 2022
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Venue: FAU Stadium — Boca Raton, FL
Coverage: ABC

The 2022 NCAA college football bowl game matchups have been revealed, including the RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl. This year's matchup is an interesting one as the Liberty Flames are set to go head-to-head against the Toledo Rockets.

Liberty could certainly use a victory right about now, having lost each of its last three games — including a 49-14 blowout loss to New Mexico State in its last outing. On the other hand, Toledo ended its own skid at two games with a strong 17-7 victory over Ohio to win the MAC Championship.

Can Liberty win its fourth consecutive bowl game? Or will Toledo spoil that dream by achieving even more success to end the campaign?

Liberty vs Toledo Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: LIB: (+146) | TOL: (-178)
Spread: LIB: +4.5 (-110) | TOL: -4.5 (-110)
Total: 53.5 — Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Toledo enters this contest as a slight favorite on the spread and moneyline. This Boca Raton Bowl clash also features a total of 53.5, which is average compared to this year's bowl games. 

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Liberty vs Toledo Prediction & Pick

All signs point to Liberty's bowl success coming to an end in a few weeks. The Flames are just too tough to trust during their losing streak, especially after losing by 35 points to the Aggies. Liberty even tried using three different quarterbacks against New Mexico State, only for the trio to combine for just 207 yards with one touchdown and an interception on 25-of-39 passing.

Even with QB Dequan Finn being banged up, Toledo still managed to win the MAC Championship last week. The Rockets' ground game was the deciding factor (236 yards and one TD on 46 carries) and now gets to face a Liberty team that's allowed at least 176 rushing yards in each of its last three games.

Look for Toledo to get a decent-sized lead early on before using the run game to drain the clock.

Final Score Prediction: Toledo: 28 | Liberty: 23

Liberty vs Toledo Betting Trends

- Liberty is 2-5 against the spread (ATS) in its last seven games.
- Toledo is 6-3 straight up in its last nine games.
- The total has hit the under in four of Liberty's last six games.
- The total has hit the under in four of Toledo's last five games.

Liberty vs Toledo Best Bet

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Bowl games are exciting, but I'm expecting a lower-than-expected affair here. Liberty's offense looks like a mess right about now and Toledo's doesn't appear to be much better, averaging just 15.5 points over its last two games. On top of that, the total has gone under in four of Liberty's last six games, as well as in all but one of Toledo's last five.

While I still expect to see a fair amount of points scored, I don't think that the 53.5-point total is being surpassed.

Bet: Under 53.5 Points (-105)


Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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