Kings vs Warriors Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 6 (Can Sacramento Force Game 7?)

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA playoffs Game 6.
Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA playoffs Game 6. / AP Photos/Randall Benton

The 2022-23 NBA Playoffs continue on Friday, April 28 with Game 6 of the first-round series between the Golden State Warriors and Sacramento Kings.

Kings vs Warriors Game 6 Info

  • Series: GSW leads 3-2
  • Date: Friday, April 28, 2023
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Chase Center -- San Francisco, California
  • Coverage: ESPN

The Golden State Warriors have a chance to eliminate the Kings following Wednesday's 123-116 victory in Sacramento. Stephen Curry finished with a game-high 31 points while Kevon Looney paced all players with a whopping 22 rebounds. Draymond Green was a surprise offensive contributor, tallying 21 points in 32 minutes off the bench.

Kings vs Warriors Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: SAC: (+235) | GSW: (-290)
  • Spread: SAC: +7.5 (-112) | GSW: -7.5 (-108)
  • Total: 235 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Warriors enter this contest as clear home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 8 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 235 points with both sides available at -110 odds. 

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Kings vs Warriors Betting Trends

  • Sacramento is 3-11 straight up in its last 14 games against Golden State.
  • Golden State is 5-0 straight up in its last five home games.
  • Sacramento is 6-3 against the spread (ATS) in its last nine games against Golden State.
  • Golden State is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 home games played on a Friday.
  • The total has hit the under in four of Sacramento's last five road games.
  • The total has hit the over in 10 of Golden State's last 15 games played in April.

Kings vs Warriors Prediction & Pick

After opening the series with a 2-0 lead, it's been all downhill for the Kings. They've been playing some slopping basketball during their three-game skid, allowing 121.0 PPG while only shooting 30.2% from three-point range and turning the ball over 14.7 times per contest. Underwhelming play like that makes it tough to keep pace with the talent-rich Warriors.

Speaking of which, the Warriors have an even bigger edge with Game 6 taking place at Chase Center. Steve Kerr's team is a whopping 35-8 straight up at home this season. Furthermore, the Warriors have won eight straight home games against the Kings by an average margin of 11 points.

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As impressive as the Kings have been this year, it's time for their postseason run to end. The Warriors are near-impossible to stop when they get rolling, which is the case with a three-game winning streak on their side. Sacramento will push, but Golden State has the skill and experience to send the road team packing.

Final Score Prediction: Warriors: 121 | Kings: 115

Kings vs Warriors Best Bet

Klay Thompson has been money from three-point range over the last month or so. The veteran sharpshooter is averaging 4.8 threes on 43.2% shooting over his last 14 games and is already 22-of-54 (40.7%) from beyond the arc this series.

In other words, I don't see Thompson having issues surpassing a three-point total of 4.5 in Game 6. He's finished with five-plus threes in 11 of his previous 14 games — including thrice this series.

Having hit the over in five of his previous seven home games, expect another stellar shooting performance from the 33-year-old.

Bet: Klay Thompson — Threes Made: Over 4.5 (+104)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.