Kevin Holland vs Santiago Ponzinibbio Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC 287 (Expect Lengthy Welterweight Clash)

Kevin Holland vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio betting preview for UFC 287, including predictions, odds and best bets.
Kevin Holland vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio betting preview for UFC 287, including predictions, odds and best bets. / AP Photo/Gregory Payan

Holland vs Ponzinibbio Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC 287 — Main Card Welterweight Bout
Kevin Holland (23-9 1NC, 13 KOs) vs. Santiago Ponzinibbio (29-6, 16 KOs)
Date: Saturday, April 8, 2023
Fight Time: This will be on the main card, which begins at 10 p.m. ET.
Venue: Miami-Dade Arena — Miami, Florida
Coverage: ESPN+, PPV

Holland vs Ponzinibbio Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC 287 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Kevin Holland: (-265)
- Santiago Ponzinibbio: (+200)

Method of Victory:
- Holland by KO/TKO: (+210)
- Holland by Points: (+170)
- Holland by Submission: (+700)
- Ponzinibbio by KO/TKO: (+550)
- Ponzinibbio by Points: (+550)
- Ponzinibbio by Submission: (+1800)

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Holland vs Ponzinibbio Prediction

Kevin Holland has seen better days. He's been finished in each of his last two fights, losing to Khamzat Chimaev by submission and to Stephen Thompson by fourth-round TKO. He'll have his hands full with Santiago Ponzinibbio, who scored a KO win over Alex Morono after suffering back-to-back losses.

I'm expecting a close fight this weekend. Holland averages 4.06 significant strikes per minute with 54% accuracy while Ponzinibbio averages 5.02 with 41%. While the former absorbs nearly two fewer strikes per minute than Ponzinibbio, it's the underdog who has the striking defense advantage (61% vs. 52%).

Having said that, I'm going with Holland as the winner. His losses have come against some tough opponents, whereas Ponzinibbio nearly lost to Morono before landing the knockout blow. It'll still be a close contest, but expect Holland to come out looking like the better fighter.

Winner: Kevin Holland

Holland vs Ponzinibbio Best Bet

With the two welterweights losing more often than they've won recently, I don't anticipate a finish here. Besides, Font has finished an opponent in five straight outings while Ponzinibbio has done so once in his previous four.

Whoever wins this fight will likely do so by going the distance and I see Holland doing so due to his experience against tougher opponents.

Bet: Kevin Holland by Points (+170)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

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