Kansas vs Arkansas Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for 2022 Liberty Bowl (Back a High-Scoring Game in Memphis)

Larry Rupp
Kansas vs Arkansas odds, prediction and betting trends for NCAA college football Liberty Bowl.
Kansas vs Arkansas odds, prediction and betting trends for NCAA college football Liberty Bowl. / AP Photos/Reed Hoffmann
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Kansas vs Arkansas Liberty Bowl Game Info

2022 College Football Game - Liberty Bowl
Kansas Jayhawks (6-6) vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (6-6)
Date: Wednesday, Dec. 28, 2022
Time: 5:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium — Memphis, TN
Coverage: ESPN

With the 2022-23 college football regular season in the rearview mirror, bowl games are right around the corner. The Liberty Bowl is set for kickoff on Wednesday, Dec. 28, and pits the Kansas Jayhawks against the Arkansas Razorbacks. It will be Kansas' second appearance and Arkansas' sixth appearance at the Liberty Bowl.

Kansas started the season 5-0 and was ranked in the AP Poll for the first time since 2009, only to drop six of its final seven games and finish at 6-6. Meanwhile, Arkansas fell short in three of its final four games of the season, but did grab a crucial sixth win on November 19.

Kansas vs Arkansas Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: KU: (+126) | ARK: (-152)
Spread: KU: +3 (-114) | ARK: -3 (-106)
Total: 68.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Arkansas enters this contest as a small favorite on the moneyline and spread. This clash also features a total of 68.5 points, which is well above average when compared to the rest of the college football bowl game slate.

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Kansas vs Arkansas Prediction & Pick

Kansas' early season success was a great feel-good storyline, but its defense regressed as the season went on. The Jayhawks went from allowing 24.0 points per game in their first five games to giving up an average of 40.9 over their final seven games. Talk about falling apart.

A shaky run defense was to blame as Kansas finished last in the Big 12 when it came to rushing yards allowed per game (193.8). Look for Arkansas' powerful backfield to make an impact in this matchup, as running back Raheim Sanders and quarterback KJ Jefferson have combined for 1,936 rushing yards.

Arkansas needs this win to salvage an otherwise disappointing season, so I'll back the Razorbacks to pick up their third straight win in the Liberty Bowl.

Final Score Prediction: Kansas: 31 | Arkansas: 41

Kansas vs Arkansas Betting Trends

- Kansas is 7-4-1 against the spread (ATS) this season.
- The total has hit the over in eight of Kansas' 12 games this season.
- Arkansas is 6-6 ATS this season.
- The total has hit the over in eight of Arkansas' 12 games this season.

Kansas vs Arkansas Best Bet

As mentioned above, Kansas' defense is subpar to say the least. Arkansas hasn't fared much better on that side of the ball either, however. The Razorbacks have allowed 28.9 points (No. 81 in FBS) on 432.6 yards (No. 106 in FBS) per game. Both of these teams are going to be able to move the football.

That makes backing the over the best bet. The total has hit the over in 16 of the 24 games Kansas and Arkansas have combined to play this season. Not only that, but exactly 68 points were scored during the last Liberty Bowl that the Razorbacks were a part of (45-23 final score). Root for points here.

Bet: Over 68.5 Points (-110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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