Jets vs Dolphins Prediction, Odds & Best Bets for Week 18 (Two Dismal Offenses Meet at Hard Rock Stadium)

Larry Rupp
New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 18 game.
New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 18 game. / AP Photos/Noah K. Murray
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Jets vs Dolphins Week 18 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season — Week 18
New York Jets (7-9, 4-4 Away) vs. Miami Dolphins (8-8, 5-2 Home)
Date: Sunday, Jan. 8, 2023
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium — Miami Gardens, FL
Coverage: FOX

The New York Jets will aim to crush the Miami Dolphins' playoff dreams when they travel to Hard Rock Stadium in Week 18 NFL action. The Jets are coming off a brutal 23-6 loss to the Seattle Seahawks that eliminated them from playoff contention. Quarterback Mike White threw a pair of interceptions.

Meanwhile, the Dolphins saw their losing streak extended to five games thanks to a 23-21 loss to the New England Patriots in Week 17. Miami struggled without starting quarterback Tua Tagovailoa as Teddy Bridgewater threw a pick-six that gave the Patriots the lead for good in the third quarter.

Jets vs Dolphins Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: NYJ: (-108) | MIA: (-108)
Spread: NYJ: +1 (-115) | MIA: -1 (-105)
Total: 38.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Dolphins enter this contest as slight home favorites on the spread on FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 1 p.m. ET clash also features one of the lower totals on the Week 18 slate at 38.5 points.

Jets vs Dolphins Prediction & Pick

The Dolphins are hanging on by a thread right now. They need a victory over the Jets coupled with a Patriots loss to the Buffalo Bills to secure an AFC Wild Card spot. While that certainly sounds like an accomplishable feat, Miami will likely be forced to trust third-string QB Skylar Thompson on Sunday.

Bridgewater left Week 17 with a finger injury and his status remains up in the air. The good news is that Miami still has the best wide receiver duo in football with Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle patrolling the outside. The two have combined for 2,999 yards and 15 touchdowns on 187 receptions in 2022.

Miami has won six straight home games against the Jets, too. I'll back the Dolphins get the job done.

Final Score Prediction: Jets: 17 | Dolphins: 20

Jets vs Dolphins Betting Trends

- The Jets are 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games.
- The total has hit the under in nine of the Jets' last 11 games.
- Miami is 8-2 straight up in its last 10 games against the Jets.
- The total has hit the under in six of Miami's last seven home games.

Jets vs Dolphins Best Bet

Backing a rookie QB in a do-or-die situation is risky, so shifting gears to the point total is a logical move. The total has hit the under in nine of the Jets' last 11 games as well as in six of the Dolphins' last seven home games. The under has cashed in five of New York's last six road games as well.

These are two of the worst offenses in football. The Jets are averaging 281.0 yards over their last three games, which is the sixth-worst mark in the NFL. The Dolphins are converting 31.4% of their third downs over their last three games, which is also the sixth-worst mark. Trust the trends here.

Bet: Under 38.5 Points (-110)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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