Jessica Andrade vs Lauren Murphy Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC 283 (Andrade Boosted by Brazilian Crowd)

Devon Platana
Jessica Andrade vs Lauren Murphy betting preview for UFC 283, including predictions, odds and best bets.
Jessica Andrade vs Lauren Murphy betting preview for UFC 283, including predictions, odds and best bets. / AP Photo/David Dermer
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Andrade vs Murphy Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC 283 — Main Card Women's Flyweight Bout
Jessica Andrade (23-9-0, 9 KOs) vs. Lauren Murphy (16-5-0, 8 KOs)
Date: Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023
Fight Time: This will be one of the final fights on the main card, which begins at 10 p.m. ET.
Venue: Jeunesse Arena — Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Coverage: ESPN+, PPV

Andrade vs Murphy Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC 283 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
- Jessica Andrade: (-530)
- Lauren Murphy: (+360)

Method of Victory:
- Andrade by Points: (+140)
- Andrade by KO/TKO: (+170)
- Andrade by Submission: (+550)
- Murphy by Points: (+700)
- Murphy by KO/TKO: (+1200)
- Murphy by Submission: (+2600)

Andrade vs Murphy Prediction

After suffering a TKO loss to Valentina Shevchenko at UFC 261, Jessica Andrade has turned things around. "Bate Estaca" has racked up back-to-back first-round wins over Cynthia Calvillo and Amanda Lemos, beating them by TKO and submission, respectively. Now, Andrade has the opportunity to build on that momentum in her home country.

Meanwhile, Lauren Murphy bounced back from her own TKO loss to Shevchenko with a unanimous decision win over Miesha Tate. While winning is nice, it's worth pointing out that Tate is a shell of her former self and Murphy still hasn't beaten anyone on Andrade's level.

With her also having the superior striking and takedown skills, Andrade will give her home country something to cheer about on Saturday.

Andrade vs Murphy Best Bet

There isn't any value in taking Andrade outright, which is why I have my eyes on the methods of victory. Knocking opponents out isn't anything new to her with four of her last five victories coming by KO/TKO.

While Murphy has only been knocked out once in her career, the incident occurred less than two years ago. She also absorbs 4.45 significant strikes per minute, which will likely be an issue against Andrade, who gives out 6.16 per minute with 50% accuracy.

Whether it's in the first round or the last one, I'm confident that Andrade knocks Murphy out.

Bet: Andrade by KO/TKO (+170)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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