Jaguars vs Texans Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Week 17 (Jacksonville Crushes Houston in AFC South Showdown)

Devon Platana
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans prediction, odds and betting trends for NFL Week 17.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans prediction, odds and betting trends for NFL Week 17. / ASSOCIATED PRESS
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Jaguars vs Texans Week 17 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season Game
Jacksonville Jaguars (7-8, 3-5 Away) vs. Houston Texans (2-12-1, 0-6-1 Home)
Date: Sunday, Jan. 1, 2023
Time: 1 p.m. ET
Venue: NRG Stadium — Houston, TX
Coverage: CBS

Week 17 of the 2022 NFL season features an exciting slate of matchups, including an AFC South battle between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans.

The Jaguars were victorious for the third straight game last week, tallying a 19-3 win against the New York Jets. Meanwhile, the Texans picked up their second win of the campaign on Christmas Eve, defeating the rival Tennessee Titans, 19-14.

Can Jacksonville continue its ascent with another victory? Or will Houston prove that last week's win was no fluke?

Jaguars vs Texans Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: JAX (-215) | HOU: (+180)
Spread: JAX: -4.5 (-110) | HOU: +4.5 (-110)
Total: 43.5 —Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Jaguars enter this contest as clear road favorites on the moneyline and spread on FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This AFC South matchup also features an over/under of 43.5, which is above average compared to the other Week 17 totals. 

Jaguars vs Texans Prediction & Pick

Don't let the Texans' shocking Week 16 victory fool you. They're still a horrible team that has yet to win at home this season, going 0-6-1 straight up at NRG Stadium. On top of allowing 400.0 total yards (second-worst) and 25.7 points per game (third-worst) at home, Houston's minus-8.7 scoring margin at NRG Stadium is the worst in the NFL.

In other words, I doubt the Jaguars will be given much trouble this week. Jacksonville has outscored opponents, 95-59, during its three-game winning streak, which includes dropping 36 points against the same Titans team that the Texans only scored 19 against.

Additionally, the Jaguars also want to taste revenge after losing to the Texans, 13-6, earlier this season. With the Jags looking like a completely different team since that loss back in Week 5, I expect them to return the favor this week.

Final Score Prediction: Jaguars: 27 | Texans: 14

Jaguars vs Texans Betting Trends

- Jacksonville is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games against Houston.
- Houston is 0-6 straight up in its last six home games.
- The total has hit the over in four of Jacksonville's last five games.
- The total has hit the under in six of Houston's last nine games against Jacksonville.

Jaguars vs Texans Best Bet

This game features a perfect storm for the Jaguars to cover as -4.5 favorites. Their offense and defense are both clicking at the right time, helping them go 4-1 ATS in their last five games. Meanwhile, the Texans are winless in their own barn and are 4-6 ATS over the last 10 games.

I'm expecting a dominant display from Jacksonville before they move on to face Tennessee for the AFC South crown in Week 18, so give me the Jaguars covering the spread here.

Bet: Jaguars -4.5 (-110)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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