Jaguars vs Lions Prediction, Odds & Best Bets for Week 13 (Trevor Lawrence Picks Apart Detroit's Defense)

Larry Rupp
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Detroit Lions prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 13 game.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Detroit Lions prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 13 game. / AP Photos/Duane Burleson
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Jaguars vs Lions Week 13 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season — Week 13
Jacksonville Jaguars (4-7, 1-4 Away) vs. Detroit Lions (4-7, 2-4 Home)
Date: Sunday, Dec. 4, 2022
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Ford Field — Detroit, MI
Coverage: FOX

Two teams looking to keep their slim playoff chances alive meet head-to-head in Week 13 as the Jacksonville Jaguars visit the Detroit Lions. The Jaguars snuck past the Baltimore Ravens by a score of 28-27 on Sunday after storming back during the game's final minute.

Meanwhile, the Lions' fourth-quarter comeback attempt fell just short against the Buffalo Bills in a 28-25 Week 12 loss on Thanksgiving. Quarterback Jared Goff completed 23 of his 37 pass attempts for 240 yards and 2 touchdowns while running back Jamaal Williams scored his NFL-leading 13th rushing touchdown of the year.

Jaguars vs Lions Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: JAC: (+102) | DET: (-120)
Spread: JAC: +1.5 (-108) | DET: -1.5 (-112)
Total: 51.5 — Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

Updated (Sunday, Dec. 4, 11:50 a.m. EST): The odds flipped in this matchup. Jacksonville was originally a 1.5-point favorite, but are now considered 1.5-point road underdogs. The moneyline odds reflect that change and the over/under holds steady at 51.5 points.

Jaguars vs Lions Prediction & Pick

Both of these teams showed a ton of promise in Week 12. Quarterback Trevor Lawrence looked confident and poised during the game-winning drive of a gutsy Jacksonville win. On the other side, Detroit did whatever it could to hang around with a legitimate Super Bowl contender.

With no real edge in momentum here, I'll side with the better defense. Jacksonville is allowing only 21.1 points per game (T-No. 14 in NFL). Meanwhile, Detroit enters this game ranked 32nd in opponent third down conversion percentage (50.8%) and 28th in opponent red zone scoring percentage (67.5%).

The Lions are also 0-5 in their last five games against an AFC opponent, so I'll side with the Jaguars.

Final Score Prediction: Jaguars: 28 | Lions: 24

Jaguars vs Lions Betting Trends

- Jacksonville is 2-6 against the spread (ATS) in its last eight games.
- The total has hit the under in four of Jacksonville's last five games.
- Detroit is 0-5 straight up in its last five games against an AFC opponent.
- The total has hit the over in nine of Detroit's last 13 games.

Jaguars vs Lions Best Bet

Backing the Jaguars to win this game outright is one way to fade the Lions' defense, but backing Jacksonville to simply rack up points is a much better option. Detroit cannot stop anyone from scoring in the red zone and has given up at least 27 points in eight of its 11 games this season.

Jacksonville has begun to tap into what this offense can truly be, too. Head coach Doug Pederson's team has put up at least 27 points twice over the last three weeks as Lawrence has tossed 6 TDs without any interceptions. Look for that offensive success to keep growing on Sunday.

Bet: Jacksonville Jaguars Total Points Over 26.5 (-110)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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