Jaguars vs Chiefs Prediction, Odds & Best Bets for AFC Divisional Round Playoff Game (Kansas City Wins a Tight One)

Jaguars vs Chiefs Wild Card Game Info

2022 NFL Playoffs — AFC Divisional Round Game
Jacksonville Jaguars (9-8, 4-5 Away) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (14-3, 7-1 Home)
Date: Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023
Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium — Kansas City, MO
Coverage: NBC

After another eventful Wild Card Weekend, the NFL Playoffs move onto the Divisional Round. There are just eight teams left in contention, all with a legitimate shot at Super Bowl 57.

The 1-seed Kansas City Chiefs will host the 4-seed Jacksonville Jaguars during the Divisional Round on Saturday, Jan. 21. It was Kansas City who came out on top by a score of 27-17 when these teams faced off in Week 10.

Jacksonville looks to continue their thunderous six-game winning streak while the Chiefs rattled off five straight wins to end their regular season. Kansas City is considered the top favorite to win Super Bowl 57 at this point, possessing +300 odds on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Jaguars vs Chiefs Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: JAX: (+340) | KC: (-430)
Spread: JAX: +8.5 (-108) | KC: -8.5 (-112)
Total: 51.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)
Odds to Win Super Bowl: JAX: +3000 | KC: +300

The Chiefs enter this contest as considerable home favorites on both the moneyline and spread on FanDuel Sportsbook. This Saturday afternoon clash features an over/under mark of 51.5 points, the highest total of the Divisional Round matchups.

Jaguars vs Chiefs Prediction & Pick

The Jaguars are on a special run. Not even Trevor Lawrence's four first-half interceptions could slow down Jacksonville in the second half. Unfortunately, the Los Angeles Chargers are a much different opponent than the 1-seed Chiefs.

Kansas City finished the regular with the league's best offensive in terms of total yards and points scored. And slightly different than years past, Kansas City's defense ranked just outside the top-10 in terms of yards allowed.

Jacksonville kept their magic going in the Wild Card Round, but they run into a buzzsaw. Considering Jacksonville's success against the spread during their recent stretch (5-1 in their last six games), I'll take the Jaguars to keep this close, but there's no way Kansas City doesn't leave Arrowhead with a victory on Saturday. Consider this another important learning experience for Trevor Lawrence. His time will come, but this is still Patrick Mahomes' league.

Final Score Prediction: Chiefs: 31 | Jaguars: 24

Jaguars vs Chiefs Betting Trends

- Kansas City defeated Jacksonville 27-17 in Week 10 of the regular season.
- Kansas City is 2-6 against the spread (ATS) in their eight home games this season.
- The total has hit the over in three of Kansas City's last five games.
- Jacksonville is 5-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last six games, all wins.
- The total has hit the under in three of Jacksonville's last five games.

Jaguars vs Chiefs Best Bet

Jacksonville has been far too dominant against the spread in recent weeks for this game to get out of hand. They've averaged 29.5 points per game during the six-game winning streak and are near perfect (5-1) ATS in that stretch.

Meanwhile, Kansas City struggles with the spread at home this season. Part of that plays into a dominant team catching lofty spreads at home, but this is the NFL Playoffs and this game plays close into the fourth quarter.

Bet: Jacksonville Jaguars +8.5 (-110)

Adam Taylor McKillop is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Adam Taylor also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username atmckillop. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.