Illinois vs Michigan State Prediction, Odds & Picks for January 13 (Expect Low-Scoring Big Ten Affair)

Devon Platana
Illinois vs Michigan State prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game.
Illinois vs Michigan State prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game. / AP Photo/Michael Allio
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Illinois vs Michigan State Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Basketball Regular Season Game
  • Illinois (11-5, 2-3 Big Ten) vs. Michigan State (12-4, 4-1 Big Ten)
  • Date: Friday, January 13, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: State Farm Center -- Champaign, Illinois

Friday, Jan. 13's NCAA college basketball schedule features a Big Ten collision between the Illinois Fighting Illini and Michigan State Spartans.

Illinois has picked up victories in three of its last four games, scoring a 76-50 blowout win over Nebraska back on Tuesday. Meanwhile, Michigan State is the team to beat in the conference, defeating then-No. 18 Wisconsin 69-65 three nights ago to mark the Spartans' seventh straight win.

Will Illinois send the State Farm Center crowd home happy tonight? Or will Michigan State spoil its Big Ten rival's fun?

Illinois vs Michigan State Odds & Spread

Illinois enters this contest as the clear favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 9 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 137.5 points, which is lower than the majority of Friday's totals.

Illinois vs Michigan State Betting Trends

  • Illinois has beaten the spread nine times in 16 games.
  • The Fighting Illini have an ATS record of 6-4 as 4.5-point favorites or greater.
  • This season, seven of Illinois' 16 games have gone over the point total.
  • Michigan State's record against the spread is 9-7-0.
  • The Spartans have an ATS record of 3-1 as 4.5-point underdogs or greater.
  • Out of Michigan State's 16 games so far this year, eight have gone over the total.
Illinois Rank Illinois AVG Michigan State AVG Michigan State Rank
72nd 76.9 Points Scored 70.3 217th
47th 63.8 Points Allowed 64.9 71st
24th 36.6 Rebounds 34.1 106th
50th 10.6 Off. Rebounds 7.4 289th
48th 9 3pt Made 7.4 187th
114th 14.3 Assists 16.2 31st
323rd 14.3 Turnovers 10.6 35th

Best College Basketball Picks - Illinois vs Michigan State

While Michigan State has been racking up wins lately, the team hasn't created a ton of separation from its opponents. That's made evident by the Spartans' plus-5.4 scoring margin (No. 92), which drops to minus-0.4 on the road. Meanwhile, Illinois has the 13th-best margin this season (plus-13.1) and is a plus-24.1 at home.

Illinois' defense has also been phenomenal this season, holding opponents to a 39.1% field-goal percentage (No. 18). Furthermore, the Fighting Illini also average 26.1 defensive rebounds (No. 26), 6.0 blocks (No. 5) and 7.9 steals (No. 58) — all better than Michigan State.

Illinois has also won back-to-back games against Michigan State, holding the Spartans to 64.5 PPG. With the Fighting Illini also being 10-1 straight up in their last 11 outings at State Farm Center, I'm backing Illinois winning tonight.

Final Score Prediction: Illinois: 72 | Michigan State 65

Illinois vs Michigan State Picks

As far as the best bet goes, taking the under on the 137.5-point total looks enticing. Both Illinois and Michigan State rely on their defense, proven by their combined 128.7 PPG against. Furthermore, the over is also 5-2 in each of their last seven games, respectively.

Considering how the total has also hit the under in seven of Illinois' last eight Big Ten tilts, I won't be surprised if this contest finishes with fewer points than expected.

Bet: Gonzaga -6.5 (-110)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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