Ignacio Bahamondes vs Trey Ogden Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC 287 ("La Jaula"'s Physical Advantage Pays Off)

Bahamondes vs Ogden Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC 287 — Early Prelims Card Catchweight (160 lbs) Bout
Ignacio Bahamondes (13-4, 9 KOs) vs. Trey Ogden (16-5, 0 KOs)
Date: Saturday, April 8, 2023
Fight Time: This will be on the early prelims card, which begins at 6 p.m. ET.
Venue: Miami-Dade Arena — Miami, Florida
Coverage: UFC Fight Pass

Bahamondes vs Ogden Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC 287 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
- Ignacio Bahamondes: (-350)
- Trey Ogden: (+255)

Method of Victory:
- Bahamondes by KO/TKO: (+180)
- Bahamondes by Points: (+170)
- Bahamondes by Submission: (+800)
- Ogden by KO/TKO: (+1600)
- Ogden by Points: (+600)
- Ogden by Submission: (+700)

Bahamondes vs Ogden Prediction

After losing his UFC debut to Jordan Leavitt, Trey Ogden rebounded with a unanimous decision win over Daniel Zellhuber just over six months ago. Ogden's next test is Ignacio Bahamondes, who's finished off Roosevelt Roberts (by KO) and Rong Zhu (by submission) in his previous two contests.

At the end of the day, this is Bahamondes' fight to lose. "La Jaula" has the physical advantage, standing four inches taller with a reach that's three inches longer. On top of being able to create distance, Bahamondes also averages 8.33 significant strikes with 47% accuracy — both better marks than what Ogden averages (3.73 and 43%, respectively).

Ogden also has much to prove before being trusted against other UFC talent. Considering how impressive Bahamondes looked in his last two outings, I see him being too much for the underdog to handle.

Winner: Ignacio Bahamondes

Bahamondes vs Ogden Best Bet

Bahamondes will likely need to go the distance to pick up a victory this weekend. Both fighters don't go down easily and have only been finished a combined five times over 39 fights between the two of them. They aren't strangers to longer fights either, as proven by Bahamondes owning an average fight time of 12:17 while both of Ogden's first two UFC bouts reached the time limit.

Even though Bahamondes will dominate for the majority of the brawl, don't count on Ogden being finished.

Bet: Ignacio Bahamondes by Points (+170)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.