Heat vs. Thunder Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for January 10 (Miami Forces Oklahoma City to Slow Down at FTX Arena)

Larry Rupp
Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / AP Photos/Sue Ogrocki
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Heat vs. Thunder Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, January 10, 2023
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: FTX Arena -- Miami, Florida
  • Coverage: TNT

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Tuesday with seven more games, including a battle between the Oklahoma Cuty Thunder and Miami Heat. The Thunder rank 13th in the Western Conference with a 18-22 record, while the Heat check in eighth in the Eastern Conference with a solid 22-20 record.

Oklahoma City enters as a victor in three of its last four games following a 120-109 win over the Dallas Mavericks on Sunday. Meanwhile, Miami has won three of its last five games, but fell short in a 102-101 loss to the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday. Which NBA playoff hopeful will win on Tuesday night?

Heat vs. Thunder Odds & Spread

Heat vs Thunder Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Heat -4.5 - - 224.5 -110 -110 -198 166
  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: MIA: (-186) | OKC: (+156)
  • Spread: MIA: -4.5 (-110) | OKC: +4.5 (-110)
  • Total: 224.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Heat enter this contest as notable home favorites on moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 224.5 points, which is below average when compared to Tuesday's projected totals.

Heat vs. Thunder Betting Trends

  • The Heat went 45-35-2 ATS last season.
  • The Thunder had an ATS record of 39-24-3 as underdogs of 4.5 points or greater last season.
  • Heat games went over the point total 46 out of 82 times last season.
  • In 82 Thunder games last year, 40 of them hit the over.

Heat vs. Thunder Prediction & Pick

The Thunder have worked hard to exceed expectations so far this season, but they remain a team that struggles when away from home. Oklahoma City is just 5-13 on the road this season with an average scoring margin of -5.1. Each of their last five road losses have come by at least 7 points.

The Heat haven't been lights out at home this season, but they still boast a defense capable of shutting down any team that comes to FTX Arena. Miami ranks sixth in defensive efficiency and second in opponent points per game (109.0). It also averages 8.4 steals per game (No. 3 in NBA).

Miami is 7-1 straight up in its last eight games against Oklahoma City, so give me the Heat at home.

Final Score Prediction: Heat: 113 | Thunder: 108

Heat vs. Thunder Best Bet

Injuries could ultimately botch Miami's chances of pulling away here as both Bam Adebayo (wrist) and Tyler Herro (Achilles) are listed as questionable. That makes shifting gears to the point total a safe move. Miami plays at the fifth-slowest pace in the NBA and will certainly try to slow this game down.

It's worth noting when these two teams met head-to-head on Dec. 4, Miami emerged victorious by a score of 110-108 in Oklahoma City. The Heat's last 10 games have averaged a measly 219.4 total points, too. Expect a game in which possessions are worked down to the end of the shot clock.

Bet: Under 224.5 Points (-110)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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