Heat vs. Hawks Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 6 (Atlanta Exacts Revenge for Saturday's Loss)

Heat vs. Hawks Game Info

• Date: Monday, March 6, 2023
• Time: 7:30 PM ET
• Venue: FTX Arena -- Miami, Florida
• Coverage: NBA TV, BSSUN, and BSSE

The 2022-23 NBA season continues on Monday with six more games, including a battle between the Atlanta Hawks and Miami Heat. The Hawks rank eighth in the Eastern Conference with a 32-32 record, while the Heat check in seventh with a 34-31 record. Both teams are fighting for playoff positioning.

These teams went head-to-head inside FTX Arena on Saturday night as the Heat emerged victorious by a score of 117-109. It was only Miami's second win in its last eight games, while it was Atlanta's fourth loss in its last seven games. Which Eastern Conference playoff hopeful will win on Monday?

Heat vs. Hawks Odds & Spread

• All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: ATL: (+126) | MIA: (-148)
• Spread: ATL: +3 (-112) | MIA: -3 (-108)
• Total: 229 -- Over: (-112) | Under: (-108)

The Heat enter this contest as small home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 229 points, which is about average compared to Monday's projected totals.

Heat vs Hawks Betting Information

Favorite	Spread	Favorite Spread Odds	Underdog Spread Odds	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline
Heat	-3	-	-	227	-110	-110	-148	126

Heat vs. Hawks Betting Trends

• The Heat covered 45 times in 82 matchups with a spread last season.
• Against the spread, as underdogs of 3 points or greater, the Hawks went 3-14 last year.
• Last season, the combined scoring went over the point total 46 times in Heat games.
• Out of 82 Hawks games last year, 43 hit the over.

Heat vs. Hawks Prediction & Pick

The Hawks came into Saturday night averaging 127.5 points over their last four games, but scoring droughts in the first two quarters caused them to be down 17 at the half. Atlanta fought back in the second half, but it was too little too late. Miami center Bam Adebayo led all scorers with 30 points.

Atlanta's defense forced 19 turnovers on Saturday, which was far beyond its season average of 14.5. The Hawks excelled on defense, but were held back by a poor night from long range (9-of-30). Expect a team that shoots 36.1% from three-point range in away games (No. 11 in NBA) to bounce back.

The Hawks have won five of their last six games in March, so give me the road team in an upset.

Final Score Prediction: Heat: 114 | Hawks: 116

Heat vs. Hawks Best Bet

One home win over the Hawks shouldn't make people overlook how awful the Heat have been as of late. Miami is 3-10 against the spread (ATS) in its last 13 games overall and 1-6 ATS in its last seven home games. Keep in mind it hasn't covered in consecutive games at any point in its last 24 contests.

Atlanta hasn't been much better, but it enters this game fully healthy and is need of a win to avoid falling uncer the .500 mark. Miami will be without Kyle Lowry once again and veteran Kevin Love is listed as day-to-day. When a game is too close to call, it's never a bad idea to take the points.

Bet: Atlanta Hawks +3 (-110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.