Hawks vs. Heat Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for January 16 (Miami Win Fourth Straight in Low-Scoring Clash)

Devon Platana
Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game.
Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA regular season game. / AP Photos/Darron Cummings
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Hawks vs. Heat Game Info

  • Date: Monday, January 16, 2023
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: State Farm Arena -- Atlanta, Georgia
  • Coverage: TNT

Monday, Jan. 16's NBA schedule includes a State Farm Arena showdown between the Atlanta Hawks (21-22) and Miami Heat (24-20) at 3:30 p.m. ET.

In a season filled with highs and lows, the Hawks improved to 3-1 in their last four games with a 114-103 win against the Toronto Raptors on Saturday. Meanwhile, the Heat have been heating up lately, highlighted by their 111-95 victory over the Milwaukee Bucks — the sixth win in their last eight tries.

Can the Hawks win this afternoon to reach the .500 mark? Or will the Heat prove to be too much of a challenge for the host team?

Hawks vs. Heat Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: MIA: (-116) | ATL: (-102)
  • Spread: MIA: -1 (-110) | ATL: +1 (-110)
  • Total: 223 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Heat enter this contest as slight road favorites on the moneyline while the spread is a pick 'em situation, per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 3:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 223 points, which is among the lowest of Monday's totals.

Heat vs Hawks Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Heat -1.5 - - 223.5 -110 -110 -118 -100

Hawks vs. Heat Betting Trends

  • The Heat put together a 45-35-2 record against the spread last season.
  • Against the spread, as underdogs of 1.5 points or more, the Hawks went 10-18 last year.
  • The Heat and their opponents combined to go over the point total 46 out of 82 times last season.
  • There were 43 Hawks games (out of 82) that went over the total last season.

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Hawks vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

Even though the Hawks have been impressive lately, that hasn't been the case at State Farm Arena. They've lost four of their last five home games, including the last three in a row. Even worse is the fact that they have a minus-6.3 scoring margin over that stretch and now must face the Heat, who are a plus-7.7 in their last three games.

The Hawks' offense has also been inconsistent at home, being held to fewer than 110 points in three of the last five games at State Farm Arena. It's going to be hard to stop that trend with the Heat allowing just 106.3 PPG over their last 10 games — No. 1 in the NBA over that stretch.

Furthermore, Miami already beat Atlanta 106-98 just under two months ago. I like how the Heat have been playing lately and won't be surprised if their defense silences the Hawks again.

Final Score Prediction: Heat: 112 | Hawks: 107

Hawks vs. Heat Best Bet

There likely won't be a lot of scoring in today's contest. The under has been prevalent for both sides lately, going 6-1 in the Heat's' last seven games and 5-1 in the Hornets' last six outings. The under has also been hit in the last seven Atlanta-Miami matchups, with an average of 208.6 points scored.

Considering how each of the last seven matchups also finished with fewer than 223 points, I expect another low-scoring affair.

Bet: Under 223 (-110)


Watch FanDuel TV’s new NBA show “Run It Back” with Shams Charania, Michelle Beadle, Chandler Parsons, and Eddie Gonzalez Monday-Wednesday at 10 ET on FanDuel TV, the FanDuel Youtube page, or download the podcast here: fanduel.com/podcasts.

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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