Gilbert Burns vs Neil Magny Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC 283 (Burns Puts on a Show in Brazil)

Larry Rupp
Gilbert Burns vs Neil Magny betting preview for UFC 283, including predictions, odds and best bets.
Gilbert Burns vs Neil Magny betting preview for UFC 283, including predictions, odds and best bets. / AP Photos/John Locher
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Burns vs Magny Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC 283 — Main Card Welterweight Bout
Gilbert Burns (20-5-0, 6 KOs) vs. Neil Magny (27-10-0, 7 KOs)
Date: Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023
Fight Time: This will be one of the final fights on the main card, which begins at 10 p.m. ET.
Venue: Jeunesse Arena — Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Coverage: ESPN+, PPV

Burns vs Magny Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC 283 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
- Gilbert Burns: (-500)
- Neil Magny: (+340)

Method of Victory:
- Burns by KO/TKO: (+300)
- Burns by Points: (+190)
- Burns by Submission: (+230)
- Magny by KO/TKO: (+1400)
- Magny by Points: (+500)
- Magny by Submission: (+2600)

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Burns vs Magny Prediction

Here we have a bout between two of the most experienced fighters in the welterweight division. In fact, Magny recently set the record for the most UFC wins in welterweight history thanks to a victory over Daniel Rodriguez via submission in November of 2022. He has his work cut out for him, though.

Burns enters this fight as the favorite. The 36-year-old is coming off a 3-round war against Khamzat Chimaev that ultimately didn't go his way. However, he showed incredible durability and determination as a massive underdog. He turned everything that makes him a standout fighter up another notch.

Magny has relied on his takedown abilities to gain an edge on his opponents in the past, but that won't work on Saturday. Burns is a black belt that has a capability of locking in a brutal submission move at any moment. After all, a whopping 40% of his 20 career victories have come via submission.

I'll side with Gilbert Burns to come out on top.

Burns vs Magny Best Bet

Backing Burns at -500 odds come with little, if any, betting value. Shifting gears to the method of victory is the best way to go. Burns is fully capable of winning this bout via submission, but Magny would be smart to not let this fight get to the ground at all given the advantage he has in reach.

Magny enters with an 80-inch reach, which shines in comparison to Burns' mark of 71 inches. He knows that his best chance of winning this match is by launching a confident striking attack. I expect Burns to make the right adjustments in a fight that stays upright and earn a crucial win via decision.

Bet: Burns by Points (+190)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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