NCAAF Betting

Florida vs Florida State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Week 13 (Seminoles Superior Defense the Difference)

FairwayJay
Florida vs Florida State prediction, odds and betting trends for NCAA college football game.
Florida vs Florida State prediction, odds and betting trends for NCAA college football game. / Associated Press
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Florida vs Florida State Week 13 Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game
Florida Gators (6-5 vs. Florida State Seminoles (8-3)
Date: Friday, Nov. 25, 2022
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
Coverage: 

Week 13 of the 2022 NCAA college football season includes a Sunshine Showdown rivalry game between the Florida Gators and Florida State Seminoles.

Florida enters off a 31-24 loss to Vanderbilt as a -13.5 point favorite.

Meanwhile, Florida State is on a 4-0 SU/ATS run with four straight dominant wins by at least 25 points each.

Florida vs Florida State Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: FLA: (+265) | FSU: (-335)
Spread: FLA: +9.5 (-110) | FSU: -9.5 (-110)
Total: 57.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Florida State enters this rivalry game as nearly a double-digit favorite on the spread (-9.5) and -335 on the moneyline. An upset win by Florida returns +265 on the moneyline. The total is currently 57.5 - right near the average for a NCAA football total compared to this week's games and down 2-points from Sunday's over/under openers in Las Vegas.

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Florida vs Florida State Prediction & Pick

Florida State's defense is best in the ACC allowing just 293 yards per game, 4.57 yards per play and 18 points per game while sporting the league's best pass defense. The Gators do have a solid duel-threat strong-armed QB in Anthony Richardson, but he's completed just 55% of his passes this season and will struggle some against FSU's dominant defense.

Florida's defense has allowed 413 YPG vs FBS opponents, and the Gators projected to be out-gained in this contest by at least 140 yards. Florida is +8 in turnover margin this season, but haven't taken advantage enough.

Florida State defense’s three-and-out rate of 38.1% is 20th nationally. The 'Noles special teams are one of two teams in the country that is ranked in the top-20 in kickoff return average, punt return average and punt return defense.

Final Score Prediction: Florida State: 31 | Florida: 17

Florida vs Florida State Betting Trends

- Florida is 1-6 straight up (SU) in their last 7 road games.
- Florida is 6-12 against the spread (ATS) in their last 18 games.
- Florida is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games vs Florida State.
- Florida State is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Florida State is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 November games.
- The total has hit the Under in 10 of FSU's last 15 games.

Florida vs Florida State Tech Best Bet

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Florida State won five straight meetings from 2013-2017, but Florida has won the last three including both against third year FSU coach Mike Norvell. Miami head coach Mario Cristobal leads the 'Canes for the first time in this rivalry.

The Gators are off a mis-leading loss in which they outgained Vanderbilt 445-283 but had untimely penalties, turnovers and miscues. That type of sloppy play will be a real issue against FSU's superior defense.

The line is a bit high, but Florida State is playing their best ball with a clicking offense and superior defense to control the proceedings in this year's rivalry game.

Bet: Florida State -9.5 (-110) and Under 57.5

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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