Falcons vs Ravens Prediction, Odds & Best Bets for Week 16 (Baltimore Emerges Victorious in Low-Scoring Battle)

Larry Rupp
Atlanta Falcons vs Baltimore Ravens prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 16 game.
Atlanta Falcons vs Baltimore Ravens prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 16 game. / AP Photos/Matt Durisko
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Falcons vs Ravens Week 16 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season — Week 16
Atlanta Falcons (5-9, 1-6 Away) vs. Baltimore Ravens (9-5, 4-2 Home)
Date: Saturday, Dec. 24, 2022
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium — Baltimore, MD
Coverage: FOX

The Atlanta Falcons will look to stay alive in the NFC South title race when they visit the Baltimore Ravens in Week 16 NFL action. The Falcons fell short in a 21-18 loss to the New Orleans Saints on Sunday. Rookie quarterback Desmond Ridder struggled through the air, tallying just 97 passing yards.

Meanwhile, the Ravens couldn't get the job done in a 13-3 loss to the Cleveland Browns in Week 15. Quarterback Tyler Huntley failed to step up in Lamar Jackson' absence as he completed 17 of his 30 passes for just 138 yards (1 interception). Baltimore fell a full game back in the AFC North as a result.

Falcons vs Ravens Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: ATL: (+290) | BAL: (-360)
Spread: ATL: +7.5 (-110) | BAL: -7.5 (-110)
Total: 37.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Ravens enter this contest as clear home favorites on the moneyline and spread on FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 1 p.m. ET clash also features one of the lower totals on the Week 16 slate at 37.5 points.

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Falcons vs Ravens Prediction & Pick

The Falcons were able to keep the score close against the Saints due to their reliable rushing attack. Atlanta racked up 231 yards on the ground via 39 carries (5.9-yard average) and scored a pair of rushing touchdowns. The bad news is that Baltimore's defensive strength remains in the trenches.

The Ravens have posted the sixth-best rush defense DVOA rating and allow only 85.6 yards on the ground per game (No. 3 in NFL). Forcing a rookie like Ridder to throw the football against a secondary that has tallied 14 interceptions on the season (T-No. 2 in NFL) is a dream scenario for Baltimore.

Atlanta is just 3-8 straight up in its last 11 games against Baltimore, so I'll side with the Ravens.

Final Score Prediction: Falcons: 14 | Ravens: 21

Falcons vs Ravens Betting Trends

- Atlanta is 2-6 against the spead (ATS) in its last eight games.
- The total has hit the under in five of Atlanta's last six games.
- Baltimore is 5-0 straight up in its last five home games against Atlanta.
- The total has hit the under in each of Baltimore's last five home games.

Falcons vs Ravens Best Bet

The point total for this game ranks as one of the lowest in Week 16 for a reason. Neither one of these teams is averaging more than 15.7 points or 319.3 yards over the last three games. Those marks rank outside the top 20 NFL teams. Keep in mind Jackson is expected to sit out again on Saturday as well.

The total has hit the under in five of both Atlanta's and Baltimore's last six games. The under has also cashed in each of the Ravens' last five home games and in nine of their last 10 games against Atlanta. Expect a ton of rushing plays and a ton of punts during this Week 16 cross-conference matchup.

Bet: Under 37.5 Points (-110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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