Duke vs Virginia Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Super Regionals Game 1 (Expect Fireworks at Davenport Field)

The 2023 NCAA Baseball Tournament continues on Friday, featuring Game 1 of the Charlottesville Super Regional between the Duke Blue Devils and Virginia Cavaliers.

Duke vs Virginia Game Info

• Date: Friday, June 9, 2023
• Time: 12 p.m. ET
• Venue: Davenport Field – Charlottesville, Virginia
• Coverage: ESPN2, ESPN+

Virginia has been rock-solid in the NCAA Tournament thus far, easily making it through the Regionals with three consecutive victories. Meanwhile, Duke blew out Coastal Carolina, 12-3, in its latest outing to punch its ticket to the Super Regionals.

Duke vs Virginia Odds & Spread

• All College Baseball betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
• Moneyline: DUKE: (+152) | UVA: (-196)
• Spread: DUKE: +1.5 (-130) | UVA: -1.5 (+100)
• Total: 12.5 -- Over: (-102) | Under: (-128)

Virginia enters this contest as the favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 12 p.m. ET clash also features a projected total of 12.5 runs with the Under being favored at -128 odds.

Duke vs Virginia Betting Trends

• Duke is 3-5 straight up (SU) in its last eight games.
• Virginia is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games.
• Duke is scoring an average of 7.5 runs in its last six games.
• Virginia is scoring an average of 9.0 runs in its last eight games.
• Duke is 2-1 SU in its three previous head-to-head matchups against Virginia.

Duke vs Virginia Prediction & Pick

Virginia has been the hotter team ahead of this matchup, winning 13 of its last 14 contests. Having said that, it was Duke who stood tall when these teams met for a three-game series back in April, outscoring the Cavaliers 26-18 on aggregate.

I see things flipping this time around, however. Virginia is one of the most potent offensive teams in the nation, batting .334 (No. 1 in NCAA) while averaging 2.68 doubles per game (No. 1) with a .528 slugging percentage (No. 19) and a .429 on-base percentage (No. 6). Meanwhile, Duke has allowed 7+ runs in five of its past eight contests, losing on each occasion.

This series should be a tight one, but motvation and a stellar offense will lead to UVA stealing Game 1.

Final Score Prediction: Virginia: 9 | Duke: 7

Duke vs Virginia Best Bet

Betting options are limited in the college baseball landscape, so I'm taking the total going over 12.5 runs as the best bet. For starters, Duke and Virginia averaged 14.7 runs in their three previous meetings this season. On top of that, three of Duke's four tournament games thus far have gone over 12.5 runs while two of Virginia's three reached double digits.

With the stakes even higher this time around, expect batters on both sides to step up.

Bet: Over 12.5 Total Runs (-102)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.