Duke vs Purdue Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Nov. 27 (Defense Steps Up at Phil Knight Legacy Tournament)

Larry Rupp
Duke vs Purdue prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game.
Duke vs Purdue prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game. / AP Photos/Darron Cummings
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Duke vs Purdue Game Info

2022-23 NCAA College Basketball Regular Season Game
No. 8 Duke Blue Devils (6-1) vs. No. 24 Purdue Boilermakers (5-0)
Date: Sunday, Nov. 27, 2022
Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Moda Center — Portland, OR
Coverage: ABC

The 2022-23 college basketball season continues on Sunday with a thrilling matchup between the No. 8 Duke Blue Devils and No. 24 Purdue Boilermakers. Duke defeated Xavier, 71-64, on Friday thanks to the efforts of junior guard Jeremy Roach. He logged 21 points, 5 assists and 4 rebounds.

Meanwhile, Purdue took care of business in a 84-66 upset win over Gonzaga on Friday. Zach Edey led the way with 23 points and 7 rebounds, while Braden Smith chipped in 14 points to go along with 7 assists and 5 rebounds. The Boilermakers shot 47.5% from the floor and 38.5% from beyond the arc.

Duke vs Purdue Odds & Spread

All NCAA college basketball betting lines, odds and prop bets.
Moneyline: DUKE: (-120) | PUR: (+100)
Spread: DUKE: -1.5 (-110) | PUR: +1.5 (-110)
Total: 134.5 —Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Duke enters this contest as slight favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 3:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 134.5 points, which is below average compared to Sunday's projected totals.

Duke vs Purdue Prediction & Pick

The championship of the Phil Knight Legacy Tournament will feature an ACC powerhouse versus a Big Ten contender on Sunday. Duke has played well this season, losing only a close battle to Kansas. On the other side, Purdue remains undefeated after passing their first big test of the year on Friday.

Edey is a force to be reckoned with, but Duke has the size down low to take him out of the game. The Boilermakers will have no answer for Roach, though, as they will employ freshmen guards to defend him. I'll side with a Duke team that is 16-4 straight up in its last 20 games against a Big Ten opponent.

Final Score Prediction: Duke: 65 | Purdue: 61

Duke vs Purdue Betting Trends

- Duke is 16-4 straight up in its last 20 games against a Big Ten opponent.
- The total has hit the under in six of Duke's last seven games.
- Purdue is 5-12-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 18 games.
- The total has hit the under in five of Purdue's last six games.

Duke vs Purdue Best Bet

This game is truly a toss-up, which makes shifting gears to the point total a smart move here. The under has cashed in six of Duke's last seven games as well as in five of Purdue's last six games. That is because neither one of these defenses is allowing more than 60.2 points per game on the season.

Purdue and Duke both rank among the top 41 teams in terms of defensive efficiency, too, and hold opponents to under 38.5% shooting from the floor. Look for the offenses in this game to be shut down early as they take time to adjust to tough defenses. That will lead to less points that expected.

Bet: Under 134.5 Points (-110)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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