Duke vs Miami Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 10 ACC Tournament (Is Blue Devils' Winning Streak in Jeopardy?)

Devon Platana
Duke vs Miami prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball ACC Tournament game.
Duke vs Miami prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball ACC Tournament game. / AP Photos/Adrian Kraus

Duke vs Miami Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Basketball ACC Tournament Game
  • No. 21 Duke (24-8, 14-6 ACC) vs. No. 14 Miami (25-6, 15-5 ACC)
  • Date: Friday, March 10, 2023
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Greensboro Coliseum -- Greensboro, North Carolina
  • Coverage: ESPN2

Friday, March 10's NCAA college basketball lineup includes an ACC Tournament semifinal showdown between the No. 21 Duke Blue Devils and No. 14 Miami Hurricanes.

Duke extended its winning streak to seven games with a dominant quarterfinal appearance, destroying Pittsburgh to the tune of a 96-69 final score. Miami was also in action less than 24 hours ago, picking up a 74-72 win over Wake Forest in a game that saw the Hurricanes nearly collapse after leading by as many as 18 points.

Will Duke's winning streak be intact once the dust settles? Or will Miami figure out a way to reach its first tournament final since 2013?

Duke vs Miami Odds & Spread

Duke enters this contest as the slim favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 7 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 144.5 points with the over favored at -115 odds.

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Duke vs Miami Betting Trends

  • Duke's record against the spread is 13-19-0.
  • As 2.5-point favorites or more, the Blue Devils are 10-13 against the spread.
  • Duke has played 32 games this season, and 13 of them have hit the over.
  • Miami has 18 wins in 31 games against the spread this season.
  • The Hurricanes are 5-0 as 2.5-point underdogs or greater.
  • There have been 13 Miami games (out of 31) that hit the over this year.
Duke Rank Duke AVG Miami AVG Miami Rank
158th 72.6 Points Scored 79.5 23rd
32nd 64.0 Points Allowed 71.7 231st
11th 36.0 Rebounds 32.2 151st
14th 11.2 Off. Rebounds 9.1 125th
232nd 6.9 3pt Made 7.6 157th
63rd 14.8 Assists 15.0 51st
150th 11.6 Turnovers 11.1 99th

Duke vs Miami Prediction & Pick

Although the two rivals split the season series, it was Miami that beat Duke up in an 81-59 blowout just over a month ago. The Hurricanes shot the ball extremely well that game, finishing with .478/.412/.909 shooting splits compared to the Blue Devils' .407/.263/.769 line.

Miami's elite offense is going to be tough for Duke to shut down. The Hurricanes average 79.5 PPG (T-No. 18) while shooting 48.6% from the floor (No. 11) and 37.0% from the three-point line (No. 36). Regardless of how good the Blue Devils' defense is, recent history shows that they haven't figured the Hurricanes' offense out just yet.

I'm expecting a competitive battle between two great teams, but Miami's recent play combined with last month's win over Duke gives it the edge.

Final Score Prediction: Miami: 77 | Duke: 74

Duke vs Miami Best Bet

Backing Miami on the spread is my betting recommendation for this game. For starters, Miami is 14-7 ATS in ACC competition this season, whereas Duke is 7-14 ATS in that regard. The Hurricanes are also 6-0 ATS in their last six outings as an underdog while the Blue Devils have failed to cover in 12 of their last 18 outings overall.

After covering the spread in each of the previous five Duke-Miami matchups, look for the Hurricanes to upset some Blue Devils supporters tonight.

Bet: Miami +3.5 (-120)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.