Dodgers vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for May 7 (LA's Offense Finds its Groove to Earn Series Win)

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres prediction, odds and betting insights for MLB regular season game.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres prediction, odds and betting insights for MLB regular season game. / AP Photos/Gregory Bull

The Los Angeles Dodgers (20-14) will aim to earn a valuable divisional series win when they visit the San Diego Padres (18-16) in the final matchup of their three-game series on Sunday, May 7.

Dodgers vs Padres Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, May 7, 2023
  • Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Venue: PETCO Park -- San Diego, California
  • Coverage: ESPN

The Dodgers saw their six-game winning streak come to an end on Friday night when they fell to the Padres by a score of 5-2, but bounced back with a 2-1 win on Saturday. Dustin May tallied 6 strikeouts across 6.0 innings of work, while third baseman Chris Taylor launched a crucial two-run home run.

Dodgers vs Padres Odds & Spread

  • All MLB betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: LAD: (-108) | SD: (-108)
  • Spread: LAD: -1.5 (+150) | SD: +1.5 (-182)
  • Total: 8 -- Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Both teams enter this contest with -108 moneyline odds on FanDuel Sportsbook, showcasing how this game could go either way. This 7:10 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 8 runs with the over being favored at -115 odds.

Dodgers vs Padres Betting Trends

  • The Dodgers are 1-4 straight up in their last five games against San Diego.
  • The total has hit the over in 10 of the Dodgers' last 14 games.
  • San Diego is 10-5 straight up in its last 15 games against an NL opponent.
  • The total has hit the under in four of San Diego's last five home games.

Dodgers vs Padres Prediction & Pick

The Dodgers had lost four straight games to San Diego prior to Saturday's victory but have a chance to earn a series win with Julio Urias on the mound. Urias has been reliable this season, logging a 3.86 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP across seven starts (4-3 record). He has also tallied 45 strikeouts in 39 2/3 innings.

The Padres will counter with Joe Musgrove, who has posted a 10.80 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in his two starts since being activated from the injured list. It's worth noting that Musgrove has historically struggled against the Dodgers in his career, as he owns a 4.04 ERA and an 0-6 record in nine starts against them.

Not only does LA have a distinct pitching advantage in this matchup, but it also has an advantage at the plate. The Dodgers average 4.88 runs per away game on the year (No. 13 in MLB), while the Padres average just 3.56 runs per home game (No. 26 in MLB). All signs point to a victory for LA here.

Final Score Prediction: Dodgers: 5 | Padres: 3

Dodgers vs Padres Best Bet

This line jumps out when looking at bets to place on this game considering the Dodgers have tallied at least 5 runs in eight of their last 13 games. Not only that, but they are facing a starting pitcher who has allowed 10 earned runs in just 8 1/3 innings of work in 2023. Even if Musgrove finally looks like his old self, the Padres rank 18th in bullpen ERA (3.92), so San Diego is far from an elite pitching squad.

Bet: Los Angeles Dodgers Over 4 Runs (-114)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.