Derrick Lewis vs Serghei Spivac Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC Vegas 68 (Main Event Ends in a Knockout)

Larry Rupp
Derrick Lewis vs Serghei Spivac betting preview for UFC Vegas 68, including predictions, odds and best bets.
Derrick Lewis vs Serghei Spivac betting preview for UFC Vegas 68, including predictions, odds and best bets. / AP Photos/Michael Wyke
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Lewis vs Spivac Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC Vegas 68 — Main Event Heavyweight Bout
Derrick Lewis (26-10-0, 21 KOs) vs. Serghei Spivac (15-3-0, 7 KOs)
Date: Saturday, Feb. 4, 2023
Fight Time: This will be the final fight on the main card, which begins at 1 a.m. ET.
Venue: APEX — Las Vegas, Nevada
Coverage: ESPN+, PPV

Lewis vs Spivac Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC Vegas 68 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
- Derrick Lewis: (+188)
- Serghei Spivac: (-225)

Method of Victory:
- Lewis by KO/TKO: (N/A)
- Lewis by Points: (N/A)
- Lewis by Submission: (N/A)
- Spivac by KO/TKO: (N/A)
- Spivac by Points: (N/A)
- Spivac by Submission: (N/A)

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Lewis vs Spivac Prediction

Serghei Spivac has been ascending in the heavyweight class thanks to five win is his last six bouts. He enters this fight ranked No. 12 and has a chance to earn yet another statement victory over the No. 8-ranked Derrick Lewis. A win would help catapult him into title contention at some point in 2023.

Lewis has dropped three of his last four bouts, all via knockout. The 37-year-old possesses one of the most powerful punches in the sport, but has become accustomed to losing to fighters capable of grappling on the ground. His lack of experience in that area leaves him vulnerable when defending.

Of course, one of Spivac's greatest strengths is bullying opponents who cannot keep up when on the ground with his sound technique. He averages 4.1 takedowns per 15 minutes and owns a takedown accuracy mark of 63%. Watch out because Lewis' takedown defense rate only checks in at 55%.

I'll side with Serghei Spivac to come out on top.

Lewis vs Spivac Best Bet

Backing Spivac as a -225 favorite is a perfectly safe option here, but bettors may be looking for a bit of a bigger payout. In that case, targeting this fight to not go the distance is the way to go. Keep in mind Spivac hasn't been involved in a showdown that has gone the distance since June of 2021.

On the other side, Lewis hasn't been a part of a fight that has gone the distance since February of 2020. Both of these fighters have proven they are fully capable of ending a bout with a single punch. Expect Lewis and Spivac to come out of the gate with an aggressive approach, leading to an early KO.

Bet: Fight to Not Go the Distance

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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