Deiveson Figueiredo vs Brandon Moreno Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC 283 (Storied Rivalry Ends in a Decision)

Larry Rupp
Deiveson Figueiredo vs Brandon Moreno betting preview for UFC 283, including predictions, odds and best bets.
Deiveson Figueiredo vs Brandon Moreno betting preview for UFC 283, including predictions, odds and best bets. / AP Photos/Richard Rodriguez
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Figueiredo vs Moreano Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC 283 — Co-Main Event Flyweight Title Bout
Deiveson Figueiredo (21-2-1, 9 KOs) vs. Brandon Moreno (20-6-2, 4 KOs)
Date: Saturday, Jan. 21, 2023
Fight Time: This will be one of the final fights on the main card, which begins at 10 p.m. ET.
Venue: Jeunesse Arena — Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Coverage: ESPN+, PPV

Figueiredo vs Moreno Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC 283 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
- Deiveson Figueiredo: (+102)
- Brandon Moreno: (-130)

Method of Victory:
- Figueiredo by KO/TKO: (+420)
- Figueiredo by Points: (+250)
- Figueiredo by Submission: (+1100)
- Moreno by KO/TKO: (+600)
- Moreno by Points: (+210)
- Moreno by Submission: (+500)

Figueiredo vs Moreno Prediction

Fans know how great of a fight this could be considering it's a matchup that has already happened three times. The first fight in 2020 ended in an exciting draw, while the second fight in 2021 ended in a victory for Moreno (submission). Figueiredo won the third bout in 2022 via unanimous decision.

Both men want to end the rivalry with a win and know each other's strategies well. It makes predicting a winner tough, but I'll ultimately side with Moreno. Look for the 29-year-old to go back to the strategy that earned him a win in 2021. It's a confident and consistent attack mixed with submission moves.

Moreno came close to winning the third fight before a couple of key takedowns gave Figueiredo an edge in the judge scoring. He enters this one with a distinct advantage on the ground. Moreno lands 2.05 takedowns per 15 minutes, while Figueiredo only lands 1.54. That'll prove to be the difference.

Give me Brandon Moreno to emerge victorious.

Figueiredo vs Moreno Best Bet

This bout lines up as a true toss-up, which leaves little value in backing either fighter. The value lies in betting on how the fight will end, instead. Two of the three bouts between these UFC beasts have gone the distance. It makes sense as the two champions are more similar than they are different.

Moreno may hold the edge in takedowns per 15 minutes, but Figueiredo holds the edge in takedown accuracy (52%). Figueiredo also has an advantage in strike accuracy (56%), while Moreno has an advantage in strikes landed per minute (3.44). As can be seen, this one is going to be a tense battle.

Bet: Fight to Go the Distance (-134)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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