Dayton vs Fordham Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 11 A-10 Tournament (Flyers Keep Rams at a Distance)

Devon Platana
Dayton vs Fordham prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball A-10 Tournament game.
Dayton vs Fordham prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball A-10 Tournament game. / AP Photo/Jeff Dean

Dayton vs Fordham Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Basketball A-10 Tournament Game
  • Dayton (21-11, 12-6 A-10) vs. Fordham (25-7, 12-6 A-10)
  • Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023
  • Time: 3:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Barclays Center -- Brooklyn, New York
  • Coverage: CBS Sports Network

Saturday, March 11's NCAA college basketball lineup includes an A-10 Tournament semifinal game between the Dayton Flyers and Fordham Rams.

Dayton came out on the right side of a 60-54 low-scoring affair with Saint Joseph's on Thursday to advance to the semifinals. On the other side, a monster first-half showing played a critical role in Fordham's 69-61 victory over La Salle.

Which of these A-10 programs has what it takes to reach the conference championship contest?

Dayton vs Fordham Odds & Spread

Dayton enters this contest as the clear favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 3:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 128.5 points with the over being favored at -115 odds.

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Dayton vs Fordham Betting Trends

  • Dayton's record against the spread is 15-16-0.
  • Against the spread as 5.5-point favorites or more, the Flyers are 11-11.
  • There have been 11 Dayton's games (out of 31) that hit the over this year.
  • Fordham is 19-13-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Rams have two wins ATS (2-3) as a 5.5-point underdog or more this year.
  • This season, 18 of Fordham's 32 games have hit the over.
Dayton Rank Dayton AVG Fordham AVG Fordham Rank
253rd 68.8 Points Scored 72.1 169th
9th 60.6 Points Allowed 67.3 96th
101st 33.0 Rebounds 34.6 41st
214th 8.1 Off. Rebounds 9.3 103rd
242nd 6.8 3pt Made 7.6 156th
39th 15.3 Assists 12.7 210th
172nd 11.8 Turnovers 13.0 288th

Dayton vs Fordham Prediction & Pick

There are a few reasons why I like Dayton more than Fordham this afternoon. For starters, Dayton is the more accurate team, shooting 46.8% from the field (No. 39) while Fordham operates on a 41.8% field-goal percentage. The Flyers are also more disciplined, averaging 13.6 personal fouls per game (No. 6) to the Rams' 19.6 (22nd-worst).

Furthermore, Dayton gives up the eighth-fewest points (60.6 PPG) on the sixth-worst field-goal percentage allowed (39.0%) in the country. The Flyers' defensive capabilities were on display in January's 82-58 win against the Rams, who finished the game with .349/.300/.455 shooting splits.

Despite having some decent momentum, there's a reason why Fordham has lost 18 of its last 19 meetings with Dayton. The Flyers are the clear-cut better team and will advance to the A-10 finals with a victory.

Final Score Prediction: Dayton: 74 | Fordham: 62

Dayton vs Fordham Best Bet

Dayton shouldn't have an issue covering the 6.5-point spread this afternoon. After all, 16 of the Flyers' last 18 victories over the Rams were won by at least seven points. And although Fordham is a solid 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games, it's failed to cover in nine of its last 13 games against Dayton.

Again, Dayton is the better team and proved it with a blowout win earlier this season. Expect another lopsided outcome tonight.

Bet: Dayton -6.5 (-110)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.