Creighton vs San Diego State Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for March 26 NCAA Tournament Game (SDSU Locks Things Down)

Creighton vs San Diego State prediction, odds and betting insights for 2022-23 NCAA Tournament game.
Creighton vs San Diego State prediction, odds and betting insights for 2022-23 NCAA Tournament game. / AP Photos/Eli Lucero

Creighton vs San Diego State Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Tournament Game
  • Creighton (24-12) vs. No. 18 San Diego State (30-6)
  • Date: Sunday, March 26, 2023
  • Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • Venue: KFC Yum! Center -- Louisville, Kentucky
  • Coverage: CBS

The NCAA Tournament's Elite 8 continues on Sunday, March 26. One of the day's highly anticipated matchups sees the No. 6 Creighton Bluejays going one-on-one with the No. 5 San Diego Aztecs in the South Region final.

The trio of Ryan Kalkbrenner, Baylor Scheierman, and Trey Alexander combined for 62 points in Creighton's 86-75 win against No. 15 Princeton. Meanwhile, San Diego State advanced past the Sweet 16 with a 71-64 effort over No. 1 Alabama, highlighted by Darrion Trammell's game-high 21 points.

Which team has what it takes to win and advance to the Final Four?

Creighton vs San Diego State Odds & Spread

Creighton enters this contest as a slim favorite on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 9:45 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 133.5 points with both sides available at -110 odds.

Creighton vs San Diego State Betting Trends

  • Against the spread, Creighton is 19-17-0 this season.
  • The Bluejays' ATS record as 1.5-point favorites or more is 17-14.
  • Out of 36 Creighton's games so far this season, 18 have gone over the total.
  • San Diego State is 19-16-0 against the spread this season.
  • The Aztecs have two wins ATS (2-2) as a 1.5-point underdog or greater this year.
  • San Diego State has seen 14 of its 35 games hit the over.
Creighton Rank Creighton AVG San Diego State AVG San Diego State Rank
55th 77 Points Scored 71.9 175th
136th 68.7 Points Allowed 63.1 25th
40th 34.7 Rebounds 33.3 85th
279th 7.4 Off. Rebounds 9.4 95th
42nd 8.8 3pt Made 7 220th
21st 15.9 Assists 13.4 150th
97th 11 Turnovers 11 97th

Creighton vs San Diego State Prediction & Pick

It's hard to doubt San Diego State when it just locked down one of the best offenses in the country. Despite Alabama averaging 81.8 PPG (No. 4), the Bluejays held the Crimson Tide to just 64 points on 32.4% shooting from the floor and an 11.1% success rate from the three-point line. SDSU even blocked eight shots while forcing 14 turnovers.

Creighton's offense is strong, but it's going to have issues sinking the ball. Over the last three games, San Diego State's opponents are only averaging 32.2% field-goal and 18.2% three-point percentages. The Aztecs' 29.7 defensive rebounds per game over that stretch rank ninth-best in the country, proving that they can capitalize on any missed shots they force.

It's going to be a competitive game that could come down to the last few possessions. However, San Diego State's defense is too elite to ignore. Look for the Aztecs to make it to the Final Four.

Final Score Prediction: San Diego State: 73 | Creighton: 70

Creighton vs San Diego State Best Bet

While Creighton shouldn't be underestimated, San Diego State just took down one of the country's best programs. The Aztecs are going to aim to smother the Bluejays right out of the gate, taking away their perimeter shooting. Despite how hard Greg McDermott's team will fight to make a comeback, SDSU's defense is too good to allow that to happen.

Having gone 6-1 ATS against its last seven Big East opponents, look for San Diego State to cover the spread as the underdog.

Bet: San Diego State +1.5 (-110)

Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.