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Commanders vs Texans Prediction, Odds & Best Bets for Week 11 (Rushing Attack Guides Washington to Road Victory)

Larry Rupp
Washington Commanders vs Houston Texans prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 11 game.
Washington Commanders vs Houston Texans prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 11 game. / AP Photos/Chris Szagola
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Commanders vs Texans Week 11 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season — Week 11
Washington Commanders (5-5, 3-2 Away) vs. Houston Texans (1-7-1, 0-3-1 Home)
Date: Sunday, Nov. 20, 2022
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: NRG Stadium — Houston, TX
Coverage: FOX

The Washington Commanders will look to stay in the NFC playoff race when they visit the Houston Texans in Week 11 NFL action. Washington is coming off an exciting 32-21 win over the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 10. Wide receiver Terry McLaurin racked up 128 yards on 8 receptions in that upset.

Meanwhile, the Texans have now lost four games in a row after a 24-16 defeat at the hands of the New York Giants on Sunday. Quarterback Davis Mills threw for a season-high 319 yards, but also tossed his ninth interception of the season. Houston failed to capitalize on a number of scoring chances.

Commanders vs Texans Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: WAS: (-166) | HOU: (+140)
Spread: WAS: -3 (-115) | HOU: +3 (-105)
Total: 41.5 — Over: (-104) | Under: (-118)

The Commanders enter this contest as a small road favorite on the moneyline and the spread. This 1 p.m. ET clash also features one of the lower totals on the Week 11 slate at 40.5 points.

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Commanders vs Texans Prediction & Pick

The legend of quarterback Taylor Heinicke continues to grow in Washington. The 29-year-old has now guided the Commanders to wins in three of the last four weeks and put the team right back into position to compete in the NFC. He may not have to do very much to earn another victory on Sunday.

The Texans have posted the second-worst rush defense DVOA rating in the NFL and have allowed a whopping 5.2 yards per carry on the year (No. 29 in NFL). They have also given up a league-high 13 rushing touchdowns to opposing running backs. Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson will feast here.

Final Score Prediction: Commanders: 21 | Texans: 17

Commanders vs Texans Betting Trends

- Washington is 4-0-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games.
- The total has hit the under in six of Washington's last eight games.
- Houston is 0-9 straight up in its last nine games against an NFC opponent.
- The total has hit the under in four of Houston's last five games in November.

Commanders vs Texans Best Bet

The value lies in the point total for this cross conference matchup. Each of these teams rank outside the top 20 in both yards and points per game. Washington earned a victory last week due to the fact that they possessed the ball for over 40 minutes. Expect a similar strategy to be employed here, too.

The under has cashed in six of the Commanders' last eight games as well as in four of Houston's last five games played in November. The Texans have scored over 20 points just once this season and have only given up more than 24 points three times. This one has low-scoring battle written all over it.

Bet: Under 40.5 Points (-112)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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