Cody Garbrandt vs Trevin Jones Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC 285 (Can Garbrandt Finally Get Back on Track?)

Devon Platana
Cody Garbrandt vs Trevin Jones betting preview for UFC 285, including predictions, odds and best bets.
Cody Garbrandt vs Trevin Jones betting preview for UFC 285, including predictions, odds and best bets. / AP Photo/John Locher
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Garbrandt vs Jones Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC 285 — Preliminary Card Bantamweight Bout
Cody Garbrandt (12-5, 10 KOs) vs. Trevin Jones (13-9, 3 KOs)
Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023
Fight Time: This will be on the preliminary card, which begins at 8 p.m. ET.
Venue: T-Mobile Arena — Paradise, Nevada
Coverage: ESPN/ESPN+

Garbrandt vs Jones Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC 285 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
- Cody Garbrandt: (-178)
- Trevin Jones: (+144)

Method of Victory:
- Garbrandt by KO/TKO: (+125)
- Garbrandt by Points: (+500)
- Garbrandt by Submission: (+2000)
- Jones by KO/TKO: (+260)
- Jones by Points: (+500)
- Jones by Submission: (+2000)

Garbrandt vs Jones Prediction

Neither bantamweight fighters has found much success recently. On one hand, Cody Garbrandt is 1-5 in his last six fights, getting knocked out in four of those outings — including in his most recent loss to Kai Kara-France at UFC 269.

On the other hand, Trevin Jones heads into T-Mobile Arena on a three-fight losing streak. He went the distance with Raoni Barcelos back in October, but his efforts weren't good enough as Barcelos walked out with the unanimous victory.

I see Garbrandt getting back on track this weekend. He averages more significant strikes per minute (3.16) than Jones (2.33) and also boasts a superior striking defense (60% vs. 40%). On top of that, "No Love" is also the better grappler and has what it takes to keep himself off the mat if Jones heads in that direction.

It'll be a hard-hitting contest, but I'm going with the former bantamweight champion this time.

Winner: Cody Garbrandt

Garbrandt vs Jones Best Bet

Considering how 10 of his 12 career victories have come via knockout, I'm backing Garbrandt to win by KO/TKO at +125 odds as the best bet. Though Jones hasn't been knocked out in his career, his last three opponents have struck him 113 times more than he's hit them. That's just a recipe for disaster, especially against a heavy hitter like Garbrandt.

Bet: Cody Garbrandt by KO/TKO (+125)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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