Chris Duncan vs Omar Morales Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC 286 (Morales' Slide Continues in London)

Devon Platana
Chris Duncan vs. Omar Morales betting preview for UFC 286, including predictions, odds and best bets.
Chris Duncan vs. Omar Morales betting preview for UFC 286, including predictions, odds and best bets. / AP Photo/Frank Franklin II
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Duncan vs Morales Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC 286 — Preliminary Card Lightweight Bout
Chris Duncan (9-1, 7 KOs) vs. Omar Morales (11-3, 2 KOs)
Date: Saturday, March 18, 2023
Fight Time: This will be on the preliminary card, which begins at 3 p.m. ET.
Venue: O2 Arena — London, England
Coverage: ESPN+, ESPN2

Duncan vs Morales Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC 286 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
- Chris Duncan: (-110)
- Omar Morales: (-110)

Method of Victory:
- Duncan by KO/TKO: (+200)
- Duncan by Points: (+500)
- Duncan by Submission: (+1200)
- Morales by KO/TKO: (+280)
- Morales by Points: (+310)
- Morales by Submission: (+1300)

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Duncan vs Morales Prediction

Despite the even odds, one fighter has struggled to win more than the other lately. Omar Morales has been the loser in three of his last four fights while being finished in each of his last two outings (once by TKO, once by submission).

Meanwhile, Chris Duncan has won back-to-back outings, most recently picking up a KO victory over Charlie Campbell on the Contender Series 2022. Having said that, this fight also serves as Duncan's UFC PPV debut, so it remains to be seen what he can do when the spotlight is at its brightest.

It's just hard to like Morales when he was TKO'd by Uros Medic in his return to the lightweight division. Duncan is hungry to make the most of the biggest opportunity of his career thus far. He'll have the advantage as long as he stays on his feet, which won't be an issue against an opponent who's spent a lot of time with his back on the mat.

Winner: Chris Duncan

Duncan vs Morales Best Bet

Even though the odds favor a KO/TKO victory for Duncan, I'm sticking with the moneyline. There's still some decent value to be had in a pick 'em situation (-110 odds) without needing to commit to a specific victory method. With Duncan being the hotter fighter at the moment, it's a bargain to go with the ML.

Bet: Chris Duncan ML (-110)


Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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