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Chargers vs Falcons Prediction, Odds & Best Bets for Week 9 (Atlanta's Run Game Reigns Supreme in Upset Win)

Larry Rupp
Los Angeles Chargers vs Atlanta Falcons prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 9 game.
Los Angeles Chargers vs Atlanta Falcons prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 9 game. / AP Photos/Marcio Jose Sanchez
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Chargers vs Falcons Week 9 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season — Week 9
Los Angeles Chargers (4-3, 2-1 Away) vs. Atlanta Falcons (4-4, 3-1 Home)
Date: Sunday, Nov. 6, 2022
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium — Atlanta, GA
Coverage: FOX

The Los Angeles Chargers will look to come out of their bye week firing in a Week 9 road matchup against the Atlanta Falcons. The Chargers fell to the Seattle Seahawks by a score of 37-23 their last time out. Los Angeles was torched both through the air (210 yards) and on the ground (213 yards).

Meanwhile, the Falcons persevered in a thrilling 37-34 overtime win against the Carolina Panthers in Week 8. Quarterback Marcus Mariota had his best game since joining Atlanta, completing 20 of his 28 pass attempts for 253 yards and 3 touchdowns (2 interceptions). He added 43 rushing yards, too.

Chargers vs Falcons Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: LAC: (-144) | ATL: (+122)
Spread: LAC: -2.5 (-115) | ATL: +2.5 (-105)
Total: 49.5 — Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

Updated (Sunday, Nov. 6, 11:05 a.m. EST): Money has come in on the Falcons, who saw their opening odds move from +140 to +122 on the moneyline. The point spread decreased to 2.5 points and the over/under holds steady.

The Chargers enter this contest as a small road favorite on the moneyline and the spread. This 1 p.m. ET clash also features one of the higher totals on the Week 9 slate at 49.5 points.

Chargers vs Falcons Prediction & Pick

Chargers head coach Brandon Staley has stayed committed to taking away the deep passing game by not stacking the box on defense. The only problem is that has led to his team getting decimated on the ground. Los Angeles is giving up 5.7 yards per carry, which is the worst mark in the NFL.

That bodes well for Atlanta's chances of staying undefeated at home with a win. The Falcons have posted the second-highest rushing play percentage in the league (57.6%) and average an impressive 158.1 rushing yards per game (No. 5 in NFL). The stage is set for the Falcons to pull off a big upset.

Final Score Prediction: Chargers: 24 | Falcons: 27

Chargers vs Falcons Betting Trends

- The Chargers are 2-6 straight up in its last eight games against Atlanta.
- The total has hit the over in five of the Charger's last six away games.
- Atlanta is 6-2 against the spread (ATS) in its eight games this season.
- The total has hit the under in eight of Atlanta's last nine games against the Chargers.

Chargers vs Falcons Best Bet

The Chargers are notably banged up heading into this game. Wide receiver Mike Williams has already been ruled out with an ankle injury and Keenan Allen did not participate in practice on Monday. It could be a long day for quarterback Justin Herbert if both of his top receiving weapons are sidelined.

Keep in mind the Falcons are 6-2 straight up in their last eight games against the Chargers and both of those losses came by just 3 points. Atlanta is also 6-2 against the spread this season (ATS), while Los Angeles is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games played in November. There's a clear edge in this game.

Bet: Atlanta Falcons +3 (-106)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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