Bucks vs. Heat Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for NBA Playoffs Game 5 (Milwaukee Keeps its Season Alive at Home)

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA Playoffs Game 5.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat prediction, odds and betting insights for NBA Playoffs Game 5. / AP Photos/Lynne Sladky

The 2022-23 NBA Playoffs continue on Wednesday with Game 5 of the first round series between the Miami Heat and Milwaukee Bucks.

Bucks vs. Heat Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, April 26, 2023
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Fiserv Forum -- Milwaukee, Wisconsin
  • Coverage: NBA TV, BSWI, and BSSUN

The return of Giannis Antetokounmpo wasn't enough to guide the Bucks to a win in Game 4 thanks to a brilliant performance by Jimmy Butler. Butler dropped 56 points (19-of-28 shooting) to go along with 9 rebounds and 2 assists as the Heat emerged victorious by a score of 119-114 on Monday.

Bucks vs. Heat Odds & Spread

  • All NBA betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
  • Moneyline: MIL: (-650) | MIA: (+480)
  • Spread: MIL: -11 (-110) | MIA: +11 (-110)
  • Total: 219.5 -- Over: (-110) | Under: (-110)

The Bucks enter this contest as clear home favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 9:30 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 219.5 points, with each side available at -110 odds.

Bucks vs Heat Betting Information
Favorite Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline
Bucks -11 -110 -110 219.5 -110 -110 -650 +480

Bucks vs. Heat Betting Trends

  • Milwaukee is 15-5 straight up in its last 20 home games.
  • The total has hit the over in each of Milwaukee's last six games against Miami.
  • Miami is 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last five games.
  • The total has hit the over in each of Miami's last five away games.

Bucks vs. Heat Prediction & Pick

Talk about carrying a team on your back. The Heat were down by 11 points entering the fourth quarter, but Butler wasn't fazed as he made one contested jumper after another. The Bucks were outscored by 16 points in that final frame as "Playoff Jimmy" tallied 21 points on 6-of-8 shooting.

The Bucks now find themselves just one loss away from elimination, but the good news is the series shifts back to Fiserv Forum on Wednesday. Milwaukee has been one of the NBA's best home teams all season, posting a reliable 33-10 record as well as a +6.1 average scoring margin (No. 6 in NBA).

On the other side, the Heat are a pedestrian 18-25 on the road this season and shoot just 45.6% from the floor in away games (No. 25 in NBA). Miami was able to steal Game 1 of this series on the road, but look for Milwaukee's veteran core to make sure that doesn't happen again on Wednesday evening.

Final Score Prediction: Bucks: 117 | Heat: 109

Bucks vs. Heat Best Bet

This best bet comes down to trusting the trends as the total has hit the over in every game in this series. In fact, the over has cashed in each of the last six meetings between the Bucks and Heat, dating back to the regular season. It's surprising to see the point total line barely move as a result.

Keep in mind the total has also hit the over in each of Miami's last five away games overall as well as in each of Milwaukee's last seven home games against this Heat squad. Butler is playing out of his mind right now and Antetokounmpo is looking to keep hope alive. Back the NBA All-Stars to put on a show.

Bet: Over 219.5 Total Points (-110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.