NFL - Odds & Predictions

Browns vs Falcons Prediction, Odds & Betting Trends for NFL Week 4 Game on FanDuel Sportsbook (Oct 2)

Larry Rupp
Cleveland Browns vs Atlanta Falcons prediction, odds and betting trends for NFL Week 4 game.
Cleveland Browns vs Atlanta Falcons prediction, odds and betting trends for NFL Week 4 game. / AP Photos/John Froschauer
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Browns vs Falcons Week 4 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season — Week 4
Cleveland Browns (2-1, 1-0 Away) vs. Atlanta Falcons (1-2, 0-1 Home)
Date: Sunday, October 2, 2022
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium — Atlanta, GA
Coverage: CBS

Two teams that haven't met in the regular season since 2018 go head-to-head in Week 4 as the Cleveland Browns visit the Atlanta Falcons. Cleveland earned a 29-17 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 3 and is starting to find its offensive identity under quarterback Jacoby Brissett.

Meanwhile, the Falcons secured their first victory of the season with a dramatic 27-23 defeat of the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday. Running back Cordarrelle Patterson posted 153 yards from scrimmage and 1 touchdown, while safety Richie Grant sealed the game with a fourth quarter interception.

Browns vs Falcons Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: CLE: (-118) | ATL: (+100)
Spread: CLE: -1.5 (-105) | ATL: +1.5 (-115)
Total: 47.5 — Over: (-114) | Under: (-106)

Updated (Sunday, Oct. 2, 9:30 a.m. EST): The Browns enter this contest as a narrow favorite on the moneyline and the spread on FanDuel Sportsbook's updated NFL odds after the line shifted from 2.5 points to 1.5 points this week. This 1 p.m. ET clash also features one of the higher projected totals (47.5) on the NFL Week 4 slate.

Browns vs Falcons Prediction & Pick

It's hard not to back Cleveland given the advantageous matchup it draws on the ground. The Browns are averaging a stellar 190.7 rushing yards per game (No. 1 in NFL) and a reliable 5.0 yards per carry (No. 6 in NFL). The Falcons rank among the bottom 10 NFL teams in rush defense DVOA rating.

Keep in mind this is one head-to-head series Cleveland has dominated in the past as well. The Falcons are 0-5 in its last five home games against the Browns and haven't beaten them since 2010. Look for running backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt to be the difference-makers in a Browns win.

Final Score Prediction: Browns: 28 | Falcons: 24

Browns vs Falcons Betting Trends

- Cleveland is 6-1 straight up in its last seven games against Atlanta.
- The total has hit the over in five of Cleveland's last seven Week 4 games.
- Atlanta is 3-0 against the spread (ATS) in its three games this season.
- The total has hit the under in four of Atlanta's last five games against Cleveland.

Browns vs Falcons Best Bet

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

Anyone looking to back the Browns on the spread should hop on it before it goes from 2.5 to 3 points. That leaves room for error in situations like overtime or late-game scores. It's a smart bet to make considering the Browns are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games against the Falcons.

Cleveland is also 7-0 ATS in its last seven games against a NFC South opponent and Atlanta is 0-8 ATS in its last eight games against an AFC North opponent. The Falcons just don't have the defensive personnel to keep the Browns off the scoreboard here. They'll put up a fight, but it won't be enough.

Bet: Cleveland Browns -1.5 (-105)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

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