Broncos vs Rams Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Christmas Day (Don't Expect Any Holiday Fireworks at SoFi Stadium)

Devon Platana
Denver Broncos vs LA Rams prediction, odds and betting trends for NFL Week 16.
Denver Broncos vs LA Rams prediction, odds and betting trends for NFL Week 16. / ASSOCIATED PRESS
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Broncos vs Rams Week 16 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season Game
Denver Broncos (4-10, 1-6 Away) vs. LA Rams (4-10, 3-5 Home)
Date: Sunday, Dec. 25, 2022
Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium — Inglewood, CA
Coverage: CBS

Week 16 of the 2022 NFL season features a slate of Christmas Day matchups, including a showdown at SoFi Stadium between the Denver Broncos and LA Rams.

The Broncos finally got back into the win column last week, ending a five-game losing streak with a 24-15 win over the Arizona Cardinals. Meanwhile, the Rams picked up yet another loss in Week 15, falling 24-12 to the Green Bay Packers on Monday night.

Can the Broncos win back-to-back games for the first time since September? Or will the Rams pull out a victory with some Christmas magic?

Broncos vs Rams Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: DEN (-132) | LAR: (+112)
Spread: DEN: -1.5 (-115) | LAR: +1.5 (-105)
Total: 36.5 —Over: (-104) | Under: (-118)

The Broncos enter this contest as slight road favorites on the moneyline and spread on FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This Christmas Day matchup also features an over/under of 36.5, which is the second-lowest of the Week 16 totals. 

Broncos vs Rams Prediction & Pick

Back in the offseason, some folks would've labelled this as a potential Super Bowl LVII matchup. Instead, the Broncos and Rams have fallen short of any and all expectations, entering this tilt as the two most offensively-deprived teams in the NFL, averaging 16.4 (No. 31) and 15.6 points (No. 32), respectively.

In a battle between two bad teams, this could come down to which side makes more mistakes. There's a good chance that'll be the Rams, who are tied for the fourth-most turnovers (21) and allow opponents to succeed on 41.4% of third downs (No. 23). Meanwhile, the Broncos only have 16 giveaways (tied for ninth-fewest) and own the second-best third-down defense (32.1%).

With momentum also on their side from last week's victory, I'll take the Broncos winning on Christmas.

Final Score Prediction: Broncos: 19 | Rams: 13

Broncos vs Rams Betting Trends

- Denver is 1-5 straight up in its last five games against the Rams.
- The Rams are 4-11-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 16 games.
- The total has hit the under in each of Denver's last five road games.
- The total has hit the under in four of the Rams' last five games against Denver.

Broncos vs Rams Best Bet

A total of 36.5 points seems too generous for a game between two teams averaging a combined 32.0 PPG. On top of that, the total has gone under in each of Denver's last five road games, as well as in 11 of LA's last 16 outings dating back to last season.

With the total also going under in four of the last five Broncos-Rams tilts, the under is looking like the more likely scenario this time around.

Bet: Under 36.5 Points (-118)

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Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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