NFL - Odds & Predictions

Bills vs Jets Prediction, Odds & Best Bets for Week 9 (Stellar Defenses Step Up in Low-Scoring Battle)

Larry Rupp
Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 9 game.
Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets prediction, odds and best bets for NFL Week 9 game. / AP Photos/Adrian Kraus
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Bills vs Jets Week 9 Game Info

2022 NFL Regular Season — Week 9
Buffalo Bills (6-1, 3-1 Away) vs. New York Jets (5-3, 1-3 Home)
Date: Sunday, Nov. 6, 2022
Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium — East Rutherford, NJ
Coverage: CBS

AFC East rivals meet head-to-head in Week 9 NFL action as the Buffalo Bills travel to take on the New York Jets. Buffalo's winning streak has grown to four games after its 27-17 win over the Green Bay Packers in Week 8. Wide receiver Stefon Diggs finished with over 100 yards for the fifth time in 2022.

Meanwhile, the Jets fell short against the New England Patriots in a 22-17 defeat on Sunday. Quarterback Zach Wilson threw for 355 yards and 2 touchdowns, but he also tossed 3 costly interceptions. New York was only able to muster 51 rushing yards on 15 carries (3.4-yard average).

Bills vs Jets Odds & Spread

All NFL betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: BUF: (-560) | NYJ: (+420)
Spread: BUF: -10.5 (-112) | NYJ: +10.5 (-108)
Total: 45.5 — Over: (-115) | Under: (-105)

Updated (Sunday, Nov. 6, 10:20 a.m. EST): After opening at a massive 12.5-point spread, the line moved down to 10.5 points in favor of the Bills. Buffalo's moneyline odds also went from -670 to -560 and the over/under point total fell two points to 45.5.

The Bills enter this contest as a heavy road favorite on the moneyline and the spread. This 1 p.m. ET clash also features one of the higher totals on the Week 9 slate at 47.5 points.

Bills vs Jets Prediction & Pick

The Bills will likely be favored in every game down the stretch, making it tough to pick out when, if at all, they will be upset. This is definitely not one of those games, though. Buffalo is 5-1 straight up in its last six games against New York and won both head-to-head meetings last year by at least 17 points.

Buffalo is rolling on offense in every facet of the game. The rank second in points per game (29.0), first in passing yards per game (307.7) and eighth in yards per carry (5.0). The Jets simply don't have the talent to keep up on the scoreboard, especially after losing running back Breece Hall to an injury.

Final Score Prediction: Bills: 28 | Jets: 16

Bills vs Jets Betting Trends

- Buffalo is 5-1 straight up in its last six games against the Jets.
- The total has hit the under in four of Buffalo's last five away games.
- The Jets are 4-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last five games.
- The total has hit the under in four of the Jets' last six games against Buffalo.

Bills vs Jets Best Bet

Backing any team in the NFL to win by almost two touchdowns is risky, so shifting gears to the point total is the best move here. The under has hit in each of Buffalo's last five games, in six of New York's last nine games and in four of the last six head-to-head meetings between the Bills and Jets as well.

Both of these defenses rank among the top eight in terms of total DVOA rating and are giving up less than 20 points per game. That is the definition of dominance. Even if this game turns into a blowout, the Jets have not shown enough firepower on offense to even score garbage time touchdowns.

Bet: Under 47.5 Points (-115)

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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