Baylor vs Air Force Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for Armed Forces Bowl 2022 (Brace for Potential Upset in Texas)

Devon Platana
Baylor vs Air Force prediction, odds and betting trends for NCAA college football Armed Forces Bowl.
Baylor vs Air Force prediction, odds and betting trends for NCAA college football Armed Forces Bowl. / AP Photo/Ray Carlin
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Baylor vs Air Force Game Info

2022 NCAA College Football Game — Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl
Baylor Bears (6-6) vs. Air Force Falcons (9-3)
Date: Thursday, Dec. 22, 2022
Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
Venue: Amon G. Carter Stadium — Forth Worth, TX
Coverage: ESPN

The 2022 NCAA college football bowl game matchups have been revealed, including the Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl. Football enthusiasts will want to tune in for this matchup as the Baylor Bears are set to go one-on-one with the Air Force Falcons.

Baylor's campaign went completely off the rails towards the end, losing each of its last three games — including a 38-27 loss to then-No. 23 Texas on Nov. 25. Meanwhile, life has been good for Air Force, picking up its fourth consecutive victory with a 13-3 effort against San Diego State to end the regular season.

Can Baylor end its season on a high note with its fifth bowl win in the last six tries? Or will Air Force add to the Bears' woes by picking up its fourth straight bowl victory?

Baylor vs Air Force Odds & Spread

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: BAY: (-250) | AFA: (+202)
Spread: BAY: -6.5 (-110) | AFA: +6.5 (-110)
Total: 49.5 — Over: (-112) | Under: (-108)

Baylor enters this contest as a clear favorite on the spread and moneyline. This Armed Forces Bowl clash also features a total of 49.5, which is slightly below average compared to this year's bowl games. 

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Baylor vs Air Force Prediction & Pick

Baylor might be the favorite at the Armed Forces Bowl, but Air Force shouldn't be overlooked. The Falcons have been one of the better teams on both sides of the ball. On one hand, they average the most rushing yards in the nation (312.9) and are more than capable of making big plays through the air. On the other, their defense allows the fewest total yards ( 256.4) and third-fewest points (13.3).

It's just hard to like much of Baylor has done lately, regardless of how tough its opponents have been. I don't expect the Bears' frontline to stop the Falcons' run attack either, especially after the former has averaged 169.0 rushing yards against in their last three games, having just surrendered 208 to Texas.

Air Force's versatile attack should get the leade here before the run game locks things down until the final whistle.

Final Score Prediction: Air Force: 33 | Baylor: 20

Baylor vs Air Force Betting Trends

- Baylor is 4-2 against the spread (ATS) in its last six games.
- Air Force is 7-2 straight up in its last nine games.
- The total has hit the over in seven of Baylor's last nine games.
- The total has hit the under in five of Air Force's last six games.

Baylor vs Air Force Best Bet

All NCAAF betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.

As far as best bets go, I'm looking at the over in this game. Air Force's bowl games end to feature high-scoring outcomes, proven by an average total of 66 points over the last five events. Furthermore, the total went over 49.5 points in each of those bowls.

Even with the Falcons having one of the country's best defenses, a Big 12 school like Baylor should at least be able to get some offense going every now and then. Even if Air Force does most of the work, expected a decent amount of offense in Fort Worth.

Bet: Over 49.5 (-112)


Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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