MLB - Odds & Predictions

Astros vs Phillies Prediction, Odds, Betting Trends & Probable Pitchers for 2022 MLB World Series Game 4

Larry Rupp
Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction, odds, betting trends and probable pitchers for 2022 MLB World Series game 4.
Houston Astros vs Philadelphia Phillies prediction, odds, betting trends and probable pitchers for 2022 MLB World Series game 4. / AP Photos/David J. Phillip
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Astros vs Phillies Game 4 Info

2022 MLB Playoffs — World Series Game 4 (PHI Leads 2-1)
Houston Astros (106-56, 51-30 Away) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (87-75, 47-34 Home)
Date: Wednesday, November 2, 2022
Time: 8:03 p.m. ET
Venue: Citizens Bank Park — Philadelphia, PA
Coverage: FOX

The 2022 World Series is underway and has brought nothing but excitement for baseball fans so far. The first two games were split in Houston, but the Phillies triumphed in a 7-0 shutout victory in front of their home crowd in Game 3. Astros' starter Lance McCullers Jr. gave up 5 home runs in the loss.

The win kept the Phillies undefeated at home during this postseason (6-0) and now they have a chance to take a substantial 3-1 lead in the series. Can Philadelphia land another big blow to Houston or will the Astros stay calm and collected by stealing back home-field advantage on Wednesday?

Astros vs Phillies Odds & Spread

All MLB Postseason betting lines, odds and prop bets are from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline: HOU: (-102) | PHI: (-116)
Spread: HOU: +1.5 (-210) | PHI: -1.5 (+154)
Total: 7.5 — Over: (-102) | Under: (-120)

The Phillies enter this contest as a slight home favorite on the moneyline and spread. They are listed at -118 moneyline odds with +154 odds to cover the 1.5-run spread. The over/under on this matchup features 7.5 runs, with the under being favored at -120 odds.

Astros vs Phillies Prediction & Pick

There's simply no understating how well the Phillies have played at Citizens Bank Park during this playoff run. They are averaging 7.0 runs per game and have smashed 17 home runs across the six contests. Philadelphia has also only allowed 2.5 runs per game with their own fans cheering them on.

The Astros will look to quiet the noise with Cristian Javier on the mound. Javier has only pitched twice during the postseason, giving up 1 earned run in 6.2 innings. The command of his four-seam fastball will make the biggest difference against a lineup he is facing for the first time in his career.

The Phillies will counter with veteran Aaron Nola. Nola has been up-and-down during the playoffs and most recently got rocked in Game 2 of this series. He allowed 5 earned runs on 6 hits and 2 walks in only 5.0 innings. Keep in mind he pitched 6.0 shutout innings in his lone playoff home start, though.

I'm going to keep backing the Phillies at home until they provide a reason for me not to.

Final Score Prediction: Astros: 3 | Phillies: 6

Astros vs Phillies Probable Starting Pitchers

The Houston Astros will look to Cristian Javier (11-9, 2.54 ERA) in Game 4 and the Philadelphia Phillies hand the ball to Aaron Nola (11-13, 3.25 ERA).

Astros vs Phillies Betting Trends

- Houston is 16-4 straight up in its last 20 away games.
- The total has hit the under in 10 of Houston's last 15 games.
- Philadelphia is 10-2 straight up in its last 12 home games against Houston.
- The total has hit the under in six of Philadelphia's last seven games on a Wednesday.

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Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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