Arkansas vs LSU Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for December 28 (Tigers Earn SEC Win Over Injured Razorbacks Squad)

Larry Rupp
Arkansas vs LSU prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game.
Arkansas vs LSU prediction, odds and betting insights for NCAA college basketball regular season game. / AP Photos/Michael Woods
facebooktwitterreddit

Arkansas vs LSU Game Info

  • 2022-23 NCAA Basketball Regular Season Game
  • No. 9 Arkansas (11-1, 0-0 SEC) vs. LSU (11-1, 0-0 SEC)
  • Date: Wednesday, December 28, 2022
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Pete Maravich Assembly Center -- Baton Rouge, Louisiana

The 2022-23 college basketball season continues on Wednesday with an exciting matchup between the No. 9 Arkansas Razorbacks and LSU Tigers. Arkansas extended its winning streak to seven with an 85-61 win over UNC Asheville last Wednesday. Jalen Graham dazzled with 16 points off the bench.

Meanwhile, LSU enters on a six-game winning streak thanks to a 72-68 victory over East Tennessee State in its most recent game. Senior forward KJ Williams balled out with a game-high 28 points (11-of-18 shooting) to go along with 12 rebounds and 3 assists. He tallied 3 steals on defense as well.

Arkansas vs LSU Odds & Spread

Arkansas enters this contest as slight road favorites on the moneyline and spread per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 9 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 143.5 points, which is about average compared to Wednesday's projected totals.

SIGN UP NOW. No Sweat First Bet Up to $1,000. dark

Arkansas vs LSU Betting Trends

  • Arkansas has beaten the spread seven times in 12 games.
  • The Razorbacks have an ATS record of 5-4 as 5.5-point favorites or greater.
  • There have been four Arkansas' games (out of 12) that hit the over this year.
  • Against the spread, LSU is 5-7-0 this year.
  • This season, four of LSU's 12 games have gone over the point total.
Arkansas Rank Arkansas AVG LSU AVG LSU Rank
53rd 79.4 Points Scored 73.0 165th
40th 61.9 Points Allowed 63.9 68th
206th 32.2 Rebounds 31.8 227th
257th 7.9 Off. Rebounds 8.6 208th
346th 4.9 3pt Made 7.7 174th
124th 14.5 Assists 14.2 143rd
164th 12.3 Turnovers 12.6 194th

Arkansas vs LSU Prediction & Pick

These teams enter with an identical record, but the paths to get to that record have been completely different. Arkansas has already racked up two standout wins on the year against San Diego State (9-3) and Oklahoma (7-3). LSU's best win has come against a 9-4 Wake Forest team on a neutral court.

The problem on Wednesday night is that the Razorbacks will be without Trevon Brazile (11.8 points & 6.0 rebounds per game) and Nick Smith Jr. (12.8 points per game) due to injuries. That gives Williams an opportunity to make his presence felt around the rim on a Tigers team that shoots 46.5% at home.

LSU has won its last 10 home games played on a Wednesday and I think that mark reaches 11.

Final Score Prediction: Arkansas: 72 | LSU: 76

Arkansas vs LSU Best Bet

Losing Brazile and Smith doesn't only hurt the Razorbacks on the offensive end. Replacing their aggressiveness on the defensive end is not going to happen in the blink of an eye. This is a game in which Arkansas is going to have to make big-time adjustments. That's why backing the over is smart.

After all, the total has hit the over in each of Arkansas' last six games against an SEC opponent. The over has also cashed in eight of the Razorbacks' last 11 games against the Tigers as well as in four of LSU's last five games against an SEC opponent. Expect a high-scoring battle down in Baton Rouge.

Bet: Over 143.5 Points (-110)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

facebooktwitterreddit