Alex Caceres vs Julian Erosa Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC Vegas 66 (Can Caceres Handle Erosa's Submissions?)

Devon Platana
Alex Caceres vs. Julian Erosa betting preview for UFC Vegas 66, including predictions, odds and best bets.
Alex Caceres vs. Julian Erosa betting preview for UFC Vegas 66, including predictions, odds and best bets. / AP Photo/John Locher
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Caceres vs Erosa Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC Vegas 66 — Main Card Featherweight Bout
Alex "Bruce Leeroy" Caceres (19-13-0, 3 KOs, 7 Submissions) vs. Julian "Juicy J" Erosa (28-9-0, 11 KOs, 12 Submissions)
Date: Saturday, Dec. 17, 2022
Fight Time: This will be on the main card, which begins at 7 p.m. ET.
Venue: UFC Apex — Enterprise, NV
Coverage: ESPN+

Caceres vs Erosa Odds & Betting Info

All UFC Vegas 66 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
- Alex Caceres: (+140)
- Julian Erosa: (-180)

Method of Victory:
- Caceres by KO/TKO: (+600)
- Caceres by Points: (+310)
- Caceres by Submission: (+1100)
- Erosa by KO/TKO: (+420)
- Erosa by Points: (+175)
- Erosa by Submission: (+550)

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Caceres vs Erosa Prediction

Though Caceres picked up a unanimous decision loss to Sodiq Yusuff in his last outing, it's important to point out how well he was doing before that. The 34-year-old veteran was on a five-fight winning streak before that loss, leaving time to tell if he can get back into the win column.

Meanwhile, Erosa is experiencing one of the best stretches of his career, going 6-1 in his last seven fights. He's won three of those fights by decision, one by TKO and another by unanimous decision, showcasing just how dominant he's looked at times.

It's hard for me to go against Erosa in this one. While Caceres could bounce back, he's also experienced back-to-back losses on four different occasions in his career. He's also been submitted seven times, which makes it tough to imagine how he'll handle a submission expert like Erosa.

I'll take Erosa winning this one.

Caceres vs Erosa Best Bets

As mentioned before, Erosa has been submitting opponents left and right, going a perfect 12-0 when his fights end in submission. Although Caceres has made a handful of opponents tap out in the past, he's 4-5 when it comes to submission endings under the UFC umbrella.

With all of the momentum that he's built up, it's hard to see Erosa losing here. Considering how Caceres has been susceptible to tapping out in the past, give me Erosa winning by submission (+550) this weekend.


Devon Platana is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Devon Platana also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username PepeSilvia0. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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