Alex Caceres vs Daniel Pineda Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC Vegas 74 (Caceres Wins in Battle of Experience)

Alex Caceres vs Daniel Pineda betting preview for UFC Vegas 74, including predictions, odds and best bets.
Alex Caceres vs Daniel Pineda betting preview for UFC Vegas 74, including predictions, odds and best bets. / AP Photos/Gregory Payan

Caceres vs Pineda Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC Vegas 74 — Co-Main Event Featherweight Bout
Alex Caceres (20-13-0, 4 KOs) vs. Daniel Pineda (28-14-0, 9 KOs)
Date: Saturday, June 3, 2023
Fight Time: This will be on the main card, which begins at 9 p.m. ET.
Venue: UFC Apex — Las Vegas, NV
Coverage: ESPN+, PPV

Caceres vs Pineda Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC Vegas 74 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
- Alex Caceres: (-186)
- Daniel Pineda: (+144)

Method of Victory:
- Caceres by KO/TKO: (N/A)
- Caceres by Points: (N/A)
- Caceres by Submission: (N/A)
- Pineda by KO/TKO: (N/A)
- Pineda by Points: (N/A)
- Pineda by Submission: (N/A)

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Caceres vs Pineda Prediction

Alex Caceres has gone through every up and down there is since making his UFC debut back in 2011. His results have only gotten better with age, though, as he enters Saturday night having won six of his last seven bouts. The 34-year-old most recently took down Julian Erosa via KO/TKO in December.

Daniel Pineda lines up similarly to Caceres in the aspect that he made his UFC debut back in 2012. Where the two differ is in the fact that Pineda's last two fights were separated by a margin of nearly two years (injuries). He returned to the octagon in March to take down Tucker Lutz via submission.

Pineda's comeback is a great story, but he runs into a beast on Saturday night. Caceres averages more significant strikes landed per minute (4.16), less significant strikes absorbed per minute (2.92) and possesses a better takedown defense rate than Pineda. He's a heavy favorite here for a reason.

Winner: Alex Caceres (-186)

Caceres vs Pineda Best Bet

I expect a lengthy fight between two fighters with vast experience when it comes to battling inside the octagon. Instead of opting to place a bet on the total number of rounds, I'll take Caceres to win by decision. After all, nine of Caceres' 15 wins at the UFC level have come via decision and three of Pineda's five losses at the UFC level have come via decision. Jump on it once the odds are released.

Bet: Alex Caceres by Decision (TBD)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

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