AL MVP Race 2022: Odds Highlight Aaron Judge as Big Favorite Over Shohei Ohtani

Heading into the 2022 MLB season, the AL MVP odds had a predictable favorite. Shohei Ohtani won the award in 2021, and accordingly his +340 odds were the best in the AL before Opening Day.

Of course, it's a long season, and things can change. FanDuel Sportsbook's MLB odds highlight a shift at the top that has progressed this season.

AL MVP Favorites 2022

Aaron Judge is the favorite to win the 2022 AL MVP award, with +115 odds. Ohtani has held on to the second-place ranking with +400 odds, and Mike Trout (+650) is the only other player with odds better than +1000.

Here's a look at how the favorites' odds stack up among the rest of the league.

AL MVP Odds 2022

1. Aaron Judge (+115)

2. Shohei Ohtani (+400)

3. Mike Trout (+650)

4. Jose Ramirez (+1100)

5. Rafael Devers (+1600)

6. Yordan Alvarez (+2500)

7. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+3500)

8. Byron Buxton (+5000)

9. Giancarlo Stanton (+8000)

10. Luis Robert (+8000)

11. Bo Bichette (+10000)

12. Jose Altuve (+10000)

13. Kyle Tucker (+10000)

14. Wander Franco (+10000)

15. George Springer (+10000)

16. Ty France (+10000)

17. Tim Anderson (+11000)

18. Xander Bogaerts (+12000)

19. Anthony Rizzo (+13000)

20. J.D. Martinez (+13000)

21. Trevor Story (+13000)

22. Taylor Ward (+15000)

23. Jose Abreu (+20000)

24. Alex Bregman (+20000)

25. Carlos Correa (+20000)

Aaron Judge AL MVP Odds

Slashing an absurd .378/.463/.800 so far in June, Aaron Judge is surging in what had already been a great season. His +115 odds to win AL MVP make him the favorite, with an implied probability of 46.5% to win the award. He leads the AL in WAR at 3.7, also leading the league in home runs (24) and runs (52) while sitting second in RBI (48).

Shohei Ohtani AL MVP Odds

The defending AL MVP, Shohei Ohtani opened as a +340 favorite to win AL MVP, but those odds have fallen to +400, putting him second behind Judge in the race with an implied probability of 20.0%. His hitting numbers have fallen back to earth a bit since last year, slashing .255/.333/.476, and despite an increase in K/9 as a pitcher (11.8 in 2022), his ERA has also jumped some to 3.64.

Mike Trout AL MVP Odds

The first 3-time AL MVP since Yogi Berra, Mike Trout is annually in the preseason discussion. He has also held his ground throughout the year. At +650 (implied 13.3% probability), he has barely fallen from his +600 opening line, and he still ranks No. 3 in the AL.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. AL MVP Odds

Despite being tied for second in the AL MVP odds before opening day, Vladimir Guerrero doesn't appear to be a legitimate contender at this point. His +3500 odds on FanDuel rank him seventh in the AL, with an implied probability of just 2.8% to win AL MVP in 2022.

Jason Schandl is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Jason Schandl also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Jaymun. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.