Pat Sabatini vs Lucas Almeida Prediction, Odds & Best Bet for UFC Vegas 75 (Trust Sabatini's Superior Ground Game)

Sabatini vs Almeida Fight Info, Date & Time

UFC Vegas 75 — Main Card Featherweight Bout
Pat Sabatini (17-4-0, 2 KOs) vs. Lucas Almeida (14-1-0, 9 KOs)
Date: Saturday, June 17, 2023
Fight Time: This fight will be on the main card, which begins at 10 p.m. ET.
Venue: UFC APEX — Las Vegas, NV
Coverage: ESPN, ESPN2

Sabatini vs Almeida Odds & Prop Bets

All UFC Vegas 75 odds, lines and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Moneyline:
- Pat Sabatini: (-196)
- Lucas Almeida: (+164)

Method of Victory:
- Sabatini by KO/TKO: (+900)
- Sabatini by Points: (+200)
- Sabatini by Submission: (+240)
- Almeida by KO/TKO: (+310)
- Almeida by Points: (+800)
- Almeida by Submission: (+1100)

Sabatini vs Almeida Prediction

This fight features two fighters with very different strategies. Pat Sabatini dominates his opponents on the ground as he 3.75 takedowns per 15 minutes. Meanwhile, Almeida excels when a fight stays upright as he logs 6.60 significant strikes landed per minute and has posted nine KO/TKO victories.

With that being said, only one fighter's strategy will work on Saturday night and I like that to be the strategy of Sabatini. Sabatini has proven he can get any fighter to the ground and only absorbs 1.50 significant strikes per minute. Almeida's takedown defense rate checks in at a measly 50%, though.

Sabatini had his four-bout winning streak come to an end with a KO/TKO loss to Damon Jackson back in September, so expect the 32-year-old to come out hungry for a bounce-back outing. If he can force an inexperienced UFC fighter like Almeida to the ground early, he'll cruise to a statement victory.

Winner: Pat Sabatini

Sabatini vs Almeida Best Bet

It's worth noting that Almeida enters this fight with one professional loss and it came via points. His strong chin allows him to avoid knockouts and his above-average grappling skills allow him to stay away from submissions. Backing Sabatini to win by points is the way to go as a result. Three of his four UFC wins have come via decision and that trend should continue in front of the Australian crowd.

Bet: Pat Sabatini by Points (+200)

Larry Rupp is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Larry Rupp also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username phillyfan424. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in their articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel. 

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